Permatang Pauh: Calm before the storm

Busy day: Pas Youth leader Salahuddin Ayub speaking at a ceramah on Saturday night (9 Aug) in Permatang Pauh – after having taken part in the protest against the Bar Council’s forum in the morning. Sharing the platform that night were Anwar and Guan Eng. The next day, I wrote the following piece for The Malay Mail from a food court in Permatang Pauh. Still a calm before the storm By A. NETTO The rays of the evening sun stretch right into a hawker centre offering the Malay version of char kway teow. Half a dozen tables are filled with local residents, chatting away as the evening breeze blows. It would be hard to tell that a widely-watched by-election is taking place in Permatang Pauh on Aug 26. Life goes on as usual and the only tell-tale signs that something big is about to happen are the fluttering Barisan Nasional flags outside.

Catholic Asian News gets a warning letter as well

The Catholic Asian News magazine has also received a warning letter from the Home Ministry. The letter was received some time in early July. And it’s for about the same reason as the warning letter to The Herald: for publishing articles which touch on politics. Don’t they know that Jesus talked about a kingdom of God? That was one of the reasons he eventually got into trouble and received a death sentence. The Roman prefect Pontius Pilate asked Jesus at his trial: “Are you a king?” The magazine is a monthly publication of the Kuala Lumpur Archdiocese of the Catholic Church in Malaysia.

Another large crowd in Permatang Pauh

A large crowd, estimated at between 10,000 and 20,000, turned up to listen to a ceramah in the heart of Permatang Pauh, opposite the Seberang Prai Polytechnic. Among the speakers were Anwar Ibrahim and Lim Guan Eng. The event also saw the launch of the national PKR youth wing’s election machinery with representatives from each state taking a pledge.

Home Ministry issues “show cause” letter to Herald

This is not a great day for freedom of expression after what happened in KL this morning. The Home Affairs Ministry has issued a show-cause letter (on 16 July) to the publishers of The Herald, an editorial in tomorrow’s edition of the Catholic weekly newspaper has revealed. The paper was accused of committing two offences:
  • it has not followed the concept of “focusing” on religion
  • it carried an article that purportedly degraded the religion of Islam
In reply to an earlier warning letter from the Ministry, the editorial in The Herald remarked that the Ministry had not defined the concept of “religion” in the application form for a publishing permit.  Neither is there a definition in the Constitution. So, the publishers asked the Ministry to point out where they had gone wrong. No reply. The editorial also maintained that the article in question “America and Jihad – where do they stand?” in no way degrades any religion; it was the writer’s analysis of the global political situation “for informed and educated people”. (I have not read the article myself so I am unable to comment on it.)

New housing on Penang Island aimed at the wealthy

So how can low-income workers afford to buy homes? There is real shortfall of affordable housing in Penang, especially on the island. On the other hand, developers have been falling over themselves to build high-end condos and houses for the upper-middle class, the rich and wealthy foreigners, who are also grabbing choice real estate on the island. For example, at Hillside in Tanjung Bunga, wealthy foreigners are snapping up prime property. House prices are expected to rise further with the rise in the cost of building materials. But when these new houses and condos are completed, who can afford to buy them? Will we end up with a glut in high-end housing? What happens to all those factory workers, security guards, and small business owners who cannot afford houses on the island? In the past, they would go for cheaper houses on the mainland, even as far as Kulim and Sungai Petani in Kedah. But with higher oil prices and shrinking real incomes, it doesn’t make economic sense to commute such long distances to work. To make matters worse, if workers were to drive to work via the proposed second Penang bridge, their expenditure on toll and petrol charges – for the bridge segment of the commute alone – could come up to RM500-800/month.

Meanwhile, back in Permatang Pauh…

The tranquil scene in Permatang Pauh hours after Anwar was charged in KL

I decided to head for Permatang Pauh yesterday – soon after Anwar was released on personal bond in KL – to soak in the atmosphere here ahead of the campaign. A few more flags had been put up at the entrance to the old town, but it still looked quiet. But that could change soon. On Saturday night, there is going to be another big ceramah, this time in the heart of Permatang Pauh. The stage is set as Nomination Day beckons… I filed in this report for IPS from a Malay restaurant in the old town after lunch – but not before buying some tempting freshly picked sweet rambutans. PERMATANG PAUH, Aug 8 (IPS) – It was a humid, sweltering afternoon here in Permatang Pauh on mainland Penang state in northern Malaysia, the scene of what could prove to be a pivotal by-election for the country on Aug. 26. A lunch-time Malay-Muslim crowd was filling up a restaurant by the main road. Some appeared to be office workers while others looked as if they were from out of town. Women with headscarves sat with their families; a couple of them wore smart office attire without headscarves. Men with smart, bright batik wear stood in contrast with villagers in more traditional Malay attire with white skull caps. Thursday might have been just another day here in this semi-rural town — but it was not. Hours earlier in the sessions court in Kuala Lumpur, Anwar Ibrahim, candidate for Permatang Pauh, was charged with consensual sodomy with a party aide Mohd. Saiful Bukhari Azlan on Jun. 26. Click here for the full story

Anwar, Parliamentary Opposition Leader from 27 Aug?

The leaders of Pakatan Rakyat consider the legal action against Anwar to be “blatant political persecution”; the whole nation is on trial, they said in a statement released today. Wan Azizah was put on standby to serve as leader of the PR Leadership Council – just in case Anwar was denied bail. They also reiterated their full endorsement for Anwar as candidate in Permatang Pauh and confirmed a joint campaign. If Anwar wins the by-election, the Pakatan leaders will propose him as Parliamentary Opposition Leader. The full statement is as follows:

Anwar released on personal bond; mention on 10 Sept

Reports of massive traffic jams around the court area this morning. Hundreds of police in the vicinity of the court. Two hundred reformasi supporters also present. Anwar pleaded not guilty to a charge of consensual sodomy at the Sessions Court and the Judge – to her credit – has agreed to release him on a RM20,000 personal bond without surety. The mention has been fixed for 10 Sept – a week before the 16 Sept deadline! Meanwhile, check out these documents on Malaysia Today, a report and statutory declaration purportedly written by Dr Osman of Hospital Pusrawi. The plot thickens – or should I say unravels.

Anwar to be charged: Ulang-tayang, here we go again…

Yesterday’s blog post was “What happens if Anwar is arrested before by-election?” Unfortunately, we will get to find out now. Anwar is expected to be charged with sodomy at the Magistrate’s Court in Jalan Duta at 9.00am tomorrow. Whether he would be allowed bail would very much depend on the judge’s discretion. For those of you who were too young to follow the first Anwar trials 10 years ago, now you get to see for yourselves what the rest of us had to put up with.  To put it mildly, the Malaysian judicial system did not distinguish itself.

What happens if Anwar is arrested before by-election?

From the poll on this blog, about 85 per cent of you believe Anwar will win in Permatang Pauh by a much bigger majority compared with Wan Azizah’s winning margin of 13,388 in the March general election. The PKR, for its part, has set a target of 20,000, which is certainly possible, barring any dirty tactics. After all, Anwar won here with a 23,000-plus majority in 1995, when he was standing under a BN ticket, over opponets from Pas and DAP. But this time, he will face the entire weight of the BN election machinery – the 3 Ms plus perhaps more potshots from the double M (Mahathir Mohamad). What happens if Anwar is arrested before the by-election? Will his majority be even larger? The even bigger questions lie beyond that. Will a PKR win be enough to lure defections ahead of 16 Sept? And at what price to principles and ideals? Perhaps the hope for a new Malaysia founded on justice and freedom would make it all worth while. What do you think? Here’s something I wrote yesterday for Asia Times.

Pakatan agrees on unprecedented joint campaign

On Sunday night, during Anwar’s ceramah in Seberang Jaya, I ran into Abdul Malik Abul Kassim, the PKR assembly member for Batu Maung, Abdul Malik Abul Kassim. He told me that Pakatan Rakyat had made an unprecedented decision earlier that day. “We (the Pakatan) are going into this campaign with one machinery, one director of operations and one operations room,” he said, adding that this would be “the first time the three parties in the coalition are doing this”. This report from the Malay Mail:

Sarawak: So the dam-building frenzy begins…

Uncertainty continues to hang over what to do with all the electricity from the 2,400MW Bakun Dam. Few know for sure if the undersea cables will be actually laid, given the enormous risks involved. Anyway, the electricity for that dam was supposed to go to the peninsula. So now they have this new plan to build the RM3 billion 940MW Murum Dam as part of the 12-dams-for-Sarawak project. And the award goes to… a Chinese firm. Who is going to use all this electricity? Would that be the aluminium smelter Salco? That’s a joint venture between Rio Tinto and CMS (ring a bell?) And which company is likely to benefit most from the supply of materials for the construction of all these dams?

15,000-crowd roars Anwar’s campaign off to flying start

Show of strength in Seberang Jaya

This is a section of the 15,000-crowd that packed the Seberang Jaya Expo site last night to listen to a stellar cast of speakers: Anwar, Guan Eng, Wan Azizah and Husam Musa. The crowd chanted the old battle-cry “Reformasi!” and when Anwar declared, “Lawan tetap…“, they roared back, “Lawan!” with much steely determination.

Can Anwar improve on Wan Azizah’s majority?

This is some background info of the semi-urban to rural constituency of Permatang Pauh, which lies between Butterworth and Bukit Mertajam, courtesy of undi.info.
PENANG: P44 – Permatang Pauh 2008 Voters: 58,449
Party Candidate Votes Majority
UMNO Datuk Pirdaus Ismail 16,950
PKR Wan Azizah Wan Ismail 30,348 13,388
Racial Breakdown
Malay: 69.40%, Chinese: 24.50%, Indian: 5.70%, Others: 0.10%
PENANG: P44 – Permatang Pauh 2004 Voters: 54,041
Party Candidate Votes Majority
UMNO Datuk Pirdaus Ismail 21,147
PKR Datin Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail 21,737 590
Racial Breakdown
Malay: 67.60%, Chinese: 26.30%, Indian: 5.70%, Others: 0.30%
State Seats / Polling Districts
N10 – Seberang Jaya
Jalan Sembilang, Seberang Jaya Ii, Kampong Pertama, Kampong Belah Dua, Seberang Jaya I, Jalan Bahru, Simpang Ampat,
N11 – Permatang Pasir
Sama Gagah, Permatang Ara, Permatang Pauh, Bukit Indra Muda, Kampong Pelet, Kubang Semang, Tanah Liat Mukim 8, Kampong Cross Street 2,
N12 – Penanti
Guar Perahu, Kuala Mengkuang, Telok Wang, Mengkuang, Sungai Lembu, Penanti, Kubang Ulu, Sungai Semambu, Tanah Liat Mukim 9, Berapit Road,
Analysis
Permalink: http://undi.info/ax/state/pn/2008/parliament/P44.html

Tan Yee Kew and 1,700 others join PKR

Tan Yee Kew (Photo credit: Mysinchew)
Just heard from a KL journalist: At a ceremony from 10.30am to noon today, Anwar Ibrahim accepted a stack of PKR membership forms from former MCA senior central committee member Tan Yee Kew and 1,700 others described as former BN supporters. Some 1,500 people packed a convention hall at the Klang Executive Club to witness the handover. PKR had received over 2,000 application forms from the constituencies of Kapar, Shah Alam and Klang but was able to process only 1,700. Tan, who was also International Trade and Industry Ministry parliamentary secretary, quit the MCA on 17 July. She said she shared the people’s disenchantment over the widening gap between the rich and the poor, racial discrimination, rampant corruption and abuse of power.

Anwar: Safe seat? I’m willing to contest in Kepala Batas

Anwar speaking in Bagan Datoh, Perak last night Anwar Ibrahim has rejected criticism by BN politicians that he opted for a by-election in Permatang Pauh because it was a safe seat for him. He said he was willing to contest in any Umno stronghold including Kepala Batas, Abdullah Badawi’s parliamentary seat, which is just 15 minutes’ drive from Permatang Pauh.

Permatang Pauh gears up for pivotal by-election

The lull before the frenzy: This was the scene when I dropped by at Permatang Pauh the day after Wan Azizah stepped down as MP to make way for Anwar

The semi-urban town of Permatang Pauh is gearing up for a what could be a pivotal by-election that could influence the direction of events in coming months.

The political situation is in a state of flux as the Barisan Nasional and Pakatan Rakyat enter a crucial phase that could determine the direction of the country.

In the foreground are the high-stakes allegations – the sodomy complaint and the Altantuya murder. In the backdrop, the equally high-stakes political battle between the leaders of the rival coalitions.

The road blocks in KL and the bizarre way Anwar Ibrahim was arrested recently – and then released – did not help soothe frayed nerves. The big question now is will he be arrested again and charged before the by-election?

“Streamlining” oil prices for by-election?

Key: July prices in red; June prices in violet (Graph courtesy of oilnergy.com) It looks like the price of oil in Malaysia could be dependent on other factors apart from economic considerations. Now the PM talks of “streamlining” the oil price from 1 Sept. By also capping the petrol price at the present RM2.70/litre for the rest of the year, the government is now opening up the possibility of a possible reduction in fuel prices this year in the event of a further drop in global prices. What exactly has changed since 5 June, when the petrol price was raised by 41 per cent? As you can see from the graph above, the price of Nymex Light Sweet Crude on 4-5 June was around US$125 per barrel. And that was when they raised the petrol price in Malaysia by 41 per cent. At the end of July, the price was also around US$125. But this time, they are talking of “streamlining” the oil price.

Loong Thye explains why he wanted to stop book launch

Chia Loong Thye has responded to the launch of the book on Gerakan, explaining why he wanted to stop the event. He says he is all for non-sectarian politics “but why is it not possible to discuss this issue without the need to slander another person? My complaint against the authors is just that.” Here is his statement in full:
My action to sue the authors of the book, Non-Sectarian Politics in Malaysia: The Case of Parti Gerakan Rakyat Malaysia, (“the Book”) for defamation may have caused some uneasiness amongst friends and those who are actively contributing to the political writings in this country.

Sarawak govt knows best, Taib tells environmentalists

Sarawak Chief Minister Taib Mahmud is not amused with activists calling for environmental protection in the state. “Before they open their mouth, they must understand what is happening now. There is no government project which will destroy the environment,” he was quoted as saying.

Come again? Okay, no “government projects” – but what about private sector projects approved by the government? Are they really environmentally sustainable? We all know the answer to that!

“The government also has the responsibility to ensure that members of the future generation inherit the good environment,” he added.

The million dollar question is, is the government living up to that responsibility? Where have all the rainforests gone?