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Why did PN’s vote share rise?

Malaysian elections

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13 Aug 2023

18

This Malaysiakini graphic above speaks for itself.

Popular vote:

Penang

2018 – PH 67.2%

2022 – PH 60.0%

2023 – PH+BN 66.6%

Selangor

2018 – PH 63.4%

2022 – PH 52.8%

2023 – PH+BN 60.6%

Negeri Sembilan

2018 – PH 53.9%

2022 – PH 44.8%

2023 – PH+BN 60.8%

Kedah

2018 – PH 36.5%

2022 – PH 23.3%

2023 – PH+BN 30.1%

Terengganu

2018 – PH 7.3%

2022 – PH 5.5%

2023 – PH+BN 32.0%

Kelantan

2018 – PH 10.0%

2022 – PH 8.8%

2023 – PH+BN 30.5%

What are the reasons for this? Is there an economic angle to it – economic insecurity and alienation arising from our development model and the urban-rural disparities?

What can Anwar Ibrahim’s Madani government do about this?

State polls: Crucial figures to watch out for

Malaysian elections

Anil Netto

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12 Aug 2023

27

State polls: Crucial figures to watch out for

Check out the BFM live coverage of results here

LIVE – Results for DAP candidates

LIVE – Malaysiakini score board

LIVE – Astro Awani results

Turnout

Penang – 80.2% (2018); 72.7%
Selangor – 85.2% (2018); 72.0%
Negeri Sembilan – 81.7% (2018); 67.4% “
Kedah – 82.0% (2018); 73.4% “
Terengganu – 84.2% (2018); 74.8% “
Kelantan – 78.2% (2018); 60.1% “
General election – 74.0% (2022 nationwide, with automatic voter registration)

Bear in mind that the 2018 figures were before Undi18 and automatic voter registration in 2022. Many older voters who had not bothered to register as voters earlier were included in the 2022 rolls: many of them were unlikely to vote and this drove down the turnout figures for the 2022 general election. I expect the turnout this time to fall just short or close to the 2022 general election figure of 74%

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Penang state election predictions and poll

Malaysian elections

Anil Netto

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10 Aug 2023

139

Penang state election predictions and poll

In six separate posts, I will be asking two pundits about their personal predictions on the outcome of the 12 August elections in six states.

First let me introduce these two, one from Pakatan Harapan and the other from Perikatan Nasional. Emen Jamal is the Tasik Gelugor PKR information chief while Abdul Rahman Kasim is the Tasik Gelugor Pas information chief.

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Selangor state election predictions and poll

Malaysian elections

Anil Netto

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10 Aug 2023

59

Selangor state election predictions and poll

Today, we will look at the upcoming Selangor state election.

In the 2018 state election, Pakatan Harapan won 51 seats out of 56 (63.4% of the popular vote, including Bersatu’s 5.6%), Umno-Barisan Nasional picked up four (21.9%), and Pas just one (14.4%).

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Kedah state election predictions

Malaysian elections

Anil Netto

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10 Aug 2023

99

Tonight, we will look at the upcoming Kedah state election.

In the 2018 state election, Pakatan Harapan won 18 seats out of the 36 seats (36.5% of the popular vote, including Bersatu’s 12.2% or five seats), Barisan Nasional picked up three (29.6%), and Pas won 15 seats (33.7%).

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Negri Sembilan state election predictions

Malaysian elections

Anil Netto

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10 Aug 2023

14

Today, we will look at the upcoming Negri Sembilan state election.

In the 2018 state election, Pakatan Harapan won 20 seats out of 36 (53.9% of the popular vote, including Bersatu’s 5.4%), Barisan Nasional picked up 16 (37.8%), and Pas failed to win a single seat (7.5%).

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Terengganu state election predictions

Malaysian elections

Anil Netto

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10 Aug 2023

18

Tonight, we will look at the upcoming Terengganu state election.

In the 2018 state election, Pas won 22 seats out of the 32 seats (50.5% of the popular vote), Barisan Nasional picked up 10 (42.2%), and Pakatan Harapan failed to win a single seat (7.3% including Bersatu’s 1.8%).

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Kelantan state election predictions

Malaysian elections

Anil Netto

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10 Aug 2023

4

Tonight, we will look at the upcoming Kelantan state election.

In the 2018 state election, Pas won 37 seats out of the 45 seats (52.0% of the popular vote), Barisan Nasional picked up eight (37.6%), and Pakatan Harapan failed to win a single seat (10.0% including Bersatu’s 2.4%).

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