Tonight, we will look at the upcoming Terengganu state election.
In the 2018 state election, Pas won 22 seats out of the 32 seats (50.5% of the popular vote), Barisan Nasional picked up 10 (42.2%), and Pakatan Harapan failed to win a single seat (7.3% including Bersatu’s 1.8%).
In the 2022 general election for Terengganu parliamentary seats, Pas’ share of the popular vote soared to 62.3%, BN’s share plunged to 31.7% while PH’s share slipped to 5.5%.
This time our two pundits have come up with sharply contrasting forecasts.
Emen Jamal, the Tasik Gelugor PKR information chief, predicts that BN will create an upset by winning the state with 26 of the 32 seats.
This is quite different from what Abdul Rahman Kasim, the Tasik Gelugor Pas information chief, is predicting. He forecasts a near clean sweep, with PN grabbing 30 out of the 32 seats.
For my part, I predict a PN win in Terengganu as the Pas share of the popular vote of 62.3% last November is likely to be too high for PH to overcome.
What’s your prediction?