“Slim” chance for Pas in Tenang

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I spoke to a couple of people on Tenang to find out what they thought of the way the by-election campaign was going.

Before that, a little poll:

[poll id=”61″]

The first, a political scientist now visiting Tenang, told me that it’s not looking great for Pas there. Another political analyst accompanying him, however, chipped in, “But it’s not all that bad either for Pas.”

The BN looks solid especially in the Felda areas where a sizeable bloc of voters reside and have profited in recent times, said the political scientist.

Talk is that a fair bit of money has been splashed around too.

A reliable source within Pas conceded that chances for the party are “slim” and added that that’s the general consensus among many within the party.

Still he felt the BN’s target of 5,000 votes was too optimistic and a more realistic target for the BN would be 2,000-3,000 votes.

Pas, on the other hand, was working hard to reduce the previous majority of 2,000-plus.

What have you heard? Or what are your predictions?

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kingkong

NKKHOO

So U enjoy a non level playing field. MCA and UMNO are always giving free lunch and free sexy shows for 50years. How to compare with PR where U have to pay your own food and maybe bring your own chair. So U accept it is alright for voters to vote for those giving free lunches. U have a job but they do not have a job or better job. So it is alright to vote those giving free lunches!!!

kingkong

So U either support or disapprove BN (squandering) the country’resources and people in Johore think it is a previlage to work “Overseas”in Singapore as opportunities in Johore is less and watch better Singapore TV programmes and speak more Mandarin?

kingkong

NKKhoo

Now it is our turn to tell and convince others to vote for PR. The world is changing and very fluid. Penang like Singapore has to cope with world situations. Old Mao of China is long dead and People in China are enjoying greater freedom and better living standard. MCA is telling your parents to be inthe 60’s?

nkkhoo

Do you read Chinese and English languages? Please go to my blog to read my bashings on BN (and PR also). This is the best effort I can do as a salary man with no contract privileges from BN or PR. I’m not a PR machai and will not commit my time to do free campaign for them on the grassroots level. PR has to convince orang kampong by themselves through active interacting with them at all times if they want to be elected as a new government. PAS can teach them on how to do this kind of effective… Read more »

Kometenmelodie

Hi all Firstly I would like to offer my condolences in advance for the legion of Pakatan fan club members here for the thrashing that PAS going to get on 30/Jan. I would advise these folks to wake and return to Planet Earth and see the reality rather than read pro-PR blogs and PR propaganda sites like Mikini and MI. In their desperation, many of these sites are publishing syiok-sendiri news on how PR and their top leaders like Nik Aziz, Anwar and LGE are drwaing crowds and making inroads. Such reports are driving the typical naive PR supporters into… Read more »

ZhangHo

Anil, Fatimah Zuhri (seems to be) a MAN, posing as a woman!.. from the crude … and “bad-breath” language used, ..”She” I mean “HE” appears TO BE “FATty” “IbrahiM” bin “AHmad”, the UMNO Malay/BN Cyber Trooper nicknamed “ZUHl zambRI” His language & writing style is typical & very stereo-type! Hey, Anil, will you be managing your usual “spot-on” Updates for the Tenang By-Election like you did for Sibu? In Tenang, PAS/PR has a slim chance of an Upset IF 1. The Chinese Votes total 3,575 [14700 x 80%x 38% x 80% = 3,575] … AND 2. The Indian/Others Votes total… Read more »

nkkhoo

You hope for 80% Chinese votes is unrealistic. Many Chinese kampong old folks can be influenced with a few candies. MCA is also doing a great grassroots campaign in the Chinese villages all the times unlike DAP.

If LGE did not (disappoint) Indian expectation in Kampung Buah Pala scandal, PR shall able to secure 50% Indian votes. Now PR is struggle to secure even 30% Indian votes.

nkkhoo

IF PR wants to win in GE, they have to change their strategy especially the DAP and PKR. DAP and PKR candidates only show up before election is main reason “orang kampong” never vote them. Anil, me or anyone can write beautiful blogs, but the messages about real BN are never passing through to grassroots. I’m from a Chinese village inside Pagoh constituency, I can tell you MCA folks contact and interact with my mum all the times. Do you think my mum will vote PAS candidate? She will definitely listen to MCA friend’s recommendation. Please stop condemning orang kampongs… Read more »

wandererAUS

Fatimah Zuhri…speaking from your experiences, how (certain party people) were the “si-fu” in this art of abusing the use of MCs! Blooming rotten…, pointing a finger on others, not realizing 3 fingers are pointing back!
… Look after your own backyard first, frustrated one.

ctzen

You don’t get it, do you, Fatimah!? Everything under the Ministry of Education is a crappy joke! That Markom Geram fler is some State Director of Edcuation! And what has Muhyiddin, the Minister of Education stand been on Markom? Muhy has just declared with or without any statement it is alright to abuse the system. Let’s not play by the rules anymore! Do you get the big picture!? Cikgu Mala is not even a Rep yet. What “gate” could she have had but by those UMNO cookies? Wasn’t she an UMNO member before? Does it take Rais Yatim’s doctoral thesis… Read more »

Fatimah Zuhri

Anil,

1. Another Mala-Gate

http://on.fb.me/fXazx9

2. She (allegedly) LIED about her hubby’s MC and she knowingly break Seksyen 26(1) ! If she can (allegedly) break the LAW do you think she will be a good ADUN?

Fatimah Zuhri

Anil,

Forgot to give the link to the statement made by the Doctor DENYING what Mala and her hubby said

http://duniacacamarba.blogspot.com/2011/01/panas-pusat-kesihatan-keluarga-nafi.html

Fatimah Zuhri

Anil,

On the CDL thing, any 5 year old can check it your themselves…veli easy one:

Step 1: Go to ttp://portal.jpj.gov.my/index.php?option=com_wrapper&view=wrapper&Itemid=28

Step 2: Masukkan IC Mala – A2560288

ps : The IC came from transcript of Normala horrible SPM result..lol which you can see here :

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_XtEymjGQYts/TULkzUiMVnI/AAAAAAAAEPw/qBFBH0xzwcw/s1600/123.png

Fatimah Zuhri

Anil,

1. Oh come on la Anil…of course it is genuine. If it is not genuine Pakatan would have come out with the “original” transcript by now but they have not do so right?

2. Yes there is a video of her driving. Again go to the link below where I show you :

http://on.fb.me/fXazx9

3. Or you can go to YOUTUBE and see the video for yourself : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Un7_OpVeW54

go to minute 0:26

🙂

ctzen

“…PR must must march to putrajaya with honour and integrity. … – stay the course for justice

Killing and bloodshed are not ethical things to do. But we still have to fight wars if we have to.

However, if you wish to be a martyr no one’s stopping you. Some very ethical people will give you a cross, if only to decorate the occasion! Ask Markom Geram! And his boss Muhyiddin Yasin, the Minister of Education!

wandererAUS

Fatimah Zuhri…be a good muslim yourself first before preaching to others! Unkind, vicious criticisms and half truth comments are unIslamic…

LastChance

HOW TO EDUCATE AND INFLUENCE ORG KAMPUNGS AND OLD FOLKS IN SMALL TOWN THAT UMNO/BN IS THE CREATOR OF BARANG NAIK AND LOW PURCHASING POWER ? ONE DAY ANAK CUCU MEREKA WILL PAY FOR IT A VERY HARD WAY. CONGRATULATIONS TO BLOGGERS/PENYOKONG/PENGUNDI UMNO/BN FOR MAKING BARANG NAIK A REALITY. SYABAS DAN TAHNIAH TO (SUPPORT) ILLICIT MONEY OUTFLOW. THEY SHOULD KEEP THIS MONEY IN MALAYSIA TO HELP LOWER INCOME GROUP AND WAGE EARNERS. WHY THEY SWIFT SO MUCH OVERSEA AS THEY DO NOT NEED IT WHEN THEY GO TO HELL LAH !

stay the course for justice

ctzen, two wrongs don’t make a right.
my point is exactly that: the ends can never justify the means.

PR must must march to putrajaya with honour and integrity.

Patrick

BN will win. Johor has always been a major political stronghold for them. Although I would predict that they wouldn’t get a 5,000 majority. Maybe less.

However, I can definitely predict that in the event of a BN win, the PM will come out with a statement saying that the win was “a sign that the rakyat had accepted the government’s 1Malaysia vision”.

Anyone want to take me up on that?

ctzen

Patrick,

It ain’t nothing till it’s something. A PAS win would be kinder to UMNO and BN! PAS would want it this way. I would want it this way. It’s easier to remember where we put our dacing, had we temporarily lost it.

Imagine, a BN win and they get to be thrashed real good at the GE!?

Ain’t nothing for BN but RUIN ! So live with it!

ctzen

stay the course for justice,

“recalibrate our moral compasses” ? There’s no more dacing lah! What are you preaching about?

Markom Giran is still fresh in my mind. You need to look for your dacing if you know waht it is and if you can still find one around.

In case, you need to reassauge your highly sensitive morality, please watch this again, and again if need be –

Markom geram !

Watch it again, please!

Too Bak Kia

Why worry so much of what the analysts have to say?

Vote with your heart and conscience.

Do not be a cheapskate to want that lousy t-shirt.
You can keep it if given free to be used to wash your car.

1Malaysian

VOTERS, not 2 late, voting is 2moro. Take a good rest 2nit and b fresh when u vote 4 CHANGE! DON 4GET! VOTE 4 CHANGES 4 d betterment of our NEXT GENERATIONS. D DAY 2moro, BEAUTY SUNDAY January 30,2011.

GONG XI FA CAI 2 d CANDIDATES & VOTERS.

stay the course for justice

much as i would like a two-party system to take root in malaysia, there are no two ways about it: no teacher should take a one-day MC, much less 21 days MC and be seen walking the streets or wading through flood waters carrying an umbrella, always clad in matching green garb. emotionally disturbed or otherwise, it’s just wrong to be seen so publicly for such long hours, every day while on MC! in our desperate quest to see an end to BN’s excesses, we must not recalibrate our moral compasses to accept a wrong as “less wrong”. on the… Read more »

Fatimah Zuhri

1. the hubby was suffering from depression or mentally sick or something. But the doctor’s report indicates he is suffering from heavy depression.

2. Maybe jalan2 berkempen is a form of “therapy” ? ahahahah

ctzen

You’re missing the point, Lady!

It’s not wrong for the hubby to go out campaigning with the wife.

BUT it is very WRONG for the EDUCATION MINISTRY to humor Markom Geram to sex up every public servant to preach for BN ! Doesn’t the Minister, also that for Education know what he’s doing? Or does he have to back to Stamford school.?

The central issue is now emerging slowly!

ctzen

“…BN will win with larger majority. Why? Because Pakatan still don’t understand/ dont want to understand the fact. …” Fatimah Zuhri

What FACT is that? And why need to scrounge for bits of info that would otherwise be “useless”?

You’re AFRAID Fatimah! Very afraid!

FenceSitter

Political analysts are the same breed as financial, stock and weather forecasters. Ok maybe the weather men are doing slightly better with modern tech. But still these breed of ppl’s forecasts are as believable as my local fortune teller. To me esp. in Msia the analyst’s reports are published as a political tool to “influence” the outcome rather than “predict” the outcome. No?

Jai Panchor

Is iy true Normala only pass SAP at school? If that’s true, she’s not fit to be a teacher anyway (by today’s standard.)

Fatimah Zuhri

1. Yep it is true.

2. But what is more sad is that as a Muslim women her first priority is towards her hubby.

3. She has a sick (mentally sick?) hubby suffering from depression and she wants to bertanding in PRK?

4. A Muslim women’s responsibility should be FIRST towards her hubby, then parents and then baru masyarakat.

wandererAUS

“Moon above Malaysia, shine upon my Tenang sweetheart”
Let the moon represents our heart!

wandererAUS

Gerakan K, keep your … money lah, Anil has not come to your level as a … marble polisher and has not earned a day of your income with dignity. You are simply … low … riding on the UMNO gravy train…
Who wins the “buy-election” is not important…it is how you win it!

Piqued

I believe PR’s missteps will ensure a BN victory in most, if not all, the coming by-elections, including the Port Klang seat if it is contested. The momentum and aura of the 2008 tsunami has long dissipated.

The GE though is another matter altogether. Whilst by-elections are generally a waste of time as they are meaningless, as far as determining the fate or the tenor of the respective state governments, the GE has the possibility of bringing about real change and the public will be more discerning with their vote then.

Gerakan K

Why PAS has no chance in Tenang ???

To know one of the reason, watch PAS top leader, ie Nik Aziz speech:

(with Malay subtitle) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tfoBWah3OVQ

There was a Chinese news program highlight the same speech by Nik Aziz few days ago and I’m very sure voters of Tenang know these.

p/s: Please note Nik Aziz comments on planting trees. It is a wastage by Nik Aziz definition !!! Ouch, it hurts !!!

Andrew I

Too many buy elections are also a wastage because we have to dig deeper into our pockets. Ouch, that must be a drain on our reserves.