Just three days to go. And the suspense is building up. For some it is too close to call. Let’s take a look at a few predictions.
Ong Kian Ming predicts a winning majority for Dyana of over 1000 in an optimistic scenario. If turnout is much lower, however, she could lose by over 1000 votes, he adds.
Our resident pundit Abdul Rahman Kasim of Pas thinks Dyana will secure at most a 3000-vote majority.
I will stick my neck out and say 5000.
Again, as in Penang, a lot depends on the turnout. In Bukit Gelugor, Penang, the turnout was 30 percentage points lower (from 86 per cent in GE13 to 56 per cent in the by-election) mainly because the BN was not contesting.
In contrast, in Teluk Intan, the BN is contesting; so the turnout is not going to drop by as much. In GE12, the turnout was 70 per cent and in GE13, it rose to 80 per cent. So perhaps in this by-election, we could see a turnout of around 70 per cent.
In GE13, Seah Leong Peng of the DAP won with a majority of 7313 while back in GE12, M Manogaran (DAP) squeezed through by 1470 votes. So this time around, I think we could see something in between those two majorities. Just a guess based on a hunch that more younger Malaysians are ready to break free from the strait jacket of race-based politics.
What do you folks think?
Thanks to blog visitor Don Anamalai for the video link.
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Dyana Sofya’s open letter to the people of Teluk Intan: To the good people of Teluk Intan, It has been an exhausting but exhilarating two weeks since I was nominated by my party to be the candidate for the Teluk Intan by-election. I have experienced more in the last two weeks than any time in my 27 years of age. Suddenly, I became the centre of attention of Umno ministers who could not resist taking digs at my looks. Datuk Abdul Rahman Dahlan asked voters not to support me just because I put on “lipstick”. Datuk Zahid Hamidi remarked that… Read more »
You don`t need to write such letter anymore. Ask your secretary, she will do it just as good.
Dyana is just Inherent in the rhetoric of her boss
After reviewing most of the comments I have just one conclusion. Not just the supporters here but DAP and PR leaders are running scare in Teluk Intan. Knowing full well that many Chinese voters who vote PR previously may switch side this time, Anwar use dubious tactics of scaring them off from voting BN by labeling as stupid if they switch side. Then DAP leaders goes around asking the public for donation to ferry these voters back. You do not need to pay for these voters if they are solid DAP supporters. These tactics are just to fish for sympathy… Read more »
It is good for outstation Chinese voters to return home to vote and spend time with family (now school holiday) while enjoying dumplings. So subsidised transportation is a noble cause.
How many Chinese are like you? I think you are one in 7 million? Switch side? Like you? Did the voters in Bukit Gelugor switch side? Did they?
You are the only one Chinese in 7 million that switched and became a turn coat. Now you are an outcast.
If you are free, come to my office and have tea. I see you quite often these days.
Yang will most likely have tea with Ridhuan Tee.
Frankly speaking I am beginning to love you more and more and when your adrenalin start shooting. One in 7 million, that make me real special. Anwar, Hadi, Azmin and a host of others, how would you deem them. You have already point 3 fingers towards your own self.
Hey! Dirty old man, “hum sap”! I am not gay, please do not love me. Go get some other turncoats.
The Malays who vote for change are brave, my highest respect to them.
The Chinese who continue to vote for BN are not only bodoh … tak ada maruah. In mandarin, it is called “chien”.
About the Indians, i leave it to the Indian readers.
Kee Chik and Anil,
Time to spice up some dream for Dyana. Though this song is meant for those not so young folks such as I, I think this would inspire Dyana and her team to win this by election. Anyway, kinda sound like the tune used to play in the church
Why are you just like Anwar so afraid to refer the Malay that vote BN as not only bodoh … tak ada maruah. Are you just like DAP so afraid of Anwar and PAS
Come on be a man
Nar Nar Bird,
Listen what Maggie Thacher got to say about a bird of some kind
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DQ6TgaPJcR0
Gerakan is an ex parrot. Gerakan is not merly stunted and it ceased to be, expire and has gone to meet its maker. Gerakan is a parrot no more. Gerakan has run down the curtain and joined the choir invisble. Gerakan is a late parrot.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oj8RIEQH7zA
Anil,
Please don’t watch Monty Python “Life of Brian”. Let say it does not do christians any good
Those Indians going for 1Malaysia goodies are ‘pressured’ to wear BN t-shirt at ‘joining BN’ bash.
Im sure most of us have watched the ‘con job ‘ by bn … about luring simple indian folks with the promise of goodies if they attend. Most of those simple indians did not know the reason behind it. Most were clueless about they dropping dap for bn, as if in the first instance they are dap card carrying members. Those were simple minded poor ladies and they were ,judging from their bewildered looks,did not know what was happening. Maslan the mousedeer ran for his life when reporters wanted clarifications on the ‘function’. Why were the indian ladies not allowed… Read more »
Hussain,
Nah! We should summon some border collies from aussie land to ensure that seppuku being administered. Use keris also can. Only resign too easy. By the way, why did he make it through the longkang. I thought if he failed………..By election……Yay
Maslan is Umno Information chief and his desperate and dirty tactics to lure Indian votes has backfired. The voters in Perak should learn from Penang voters, take the goodies but still vote for Pakatan.
To stop “Intan” Dyana from marching to Parliment is like trying to forestall
a tsunami.
Better still……Use children biblical story on how the Pharoah was buried along with his soldiers in the red sea. For more bible stories, ask anil netto………Hahahaha
Actually, I can tell these stories as well
If Mah loses to Dyna, it spells the doom of Gerakan (long forgotten in Penang, cannot get into East Msia, now Perak being the final doom ?).
For those Grk supporters, the saving grace if to watch save face movies like the one i recommend below :
Hew Kuan Yau aka Superman in his latest speech has claimed that Gerakan Mainkan Politik Yang Paling Hipokrit:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qZ9aqRtkDsM
Meanwhile DSAI warned Umno: Jangan Hina Orang, Jangan Hina Kaum, Jangan Hina Agama, Fahamkah UMNO?
Wait a minute, Gerakan made its mark in Sabah………through the back door……….It figures……..Hahahaha
Ambiga is endorsing Dyana!
DAP IS DESPERATE – Nancy Shukri
Like I said DAP & PR are really desperate otherwise Anwar would not have called the Chinese who vote BN stupid while omitting the Malays. We should understand that Anwar did not want to called himself and his own race stupid as he was once an UMNO man who have voted BN countless times. Is not that the truth.
Datuk Ahmad Maslan is embarrassed over a bungled event on Tuesday where he inaccurately said that there were “150 DAP members” who wanted to switch camps and join BN. A desperate stunt to con the poor Indian community has backfired?
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/ahmad-maslan-evades-media-after-dap-members-switch-sides-fiasco
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kBYDJwq9ecA
Its the outstation voters that matter at 30% its quite a lot. One thing going is that its school holliday. The death of the Sultan means somethings just slow down so that more people will be able to get back home to vote. So long as the voter turnout not too low, Dyana should win comfortably. I have always said its a lot like LKS in Gelang Patah – if LKS can win enough Malay votes, then Dyana should be able to..The non-Malay vote is not an issue. They voted Manogaran the first time, Dyana is an even easier choice.… Read more »
Cari alasan jika kalah
Haven’t even win…..already ya ya……What’s next? If Gerakan loses, then talk about margin reduce?
I wonder hah, why so many people got personal issues
One got issue with his sister’s cat
One got issue with shinawatra because loses money through AIS sellout
Yang,
LGE makes you lose money……izzit
This is going to be a tsunami regardless of the percentages of the turnout of the voters. It is now proven beyond doubt that all the folks in Teluk Intan are now awaken to all the lies, deceits and the corruptions that have taken place with BN and all their ‘partners’, better still call these as Umno lackeys lackeys. Malaysia is in the shambles that it is in, is because these BN partners are only there to support and to endorse whatever policies the Umno schmucks are coming up with and above all proposing are always passed with the endorsement… Read more »
Charles,
Leave out the schmuck, will you? There ain’t any Jews lawyers over here. Anyway, David Marshall is a good Jew who liberated many singaporeans by giving them citizenships. Anyway, Madhater hated the Jews. Of course, he’s filled with mad and hatred. Hence, Madhater
Ananar, bukit gelugor of course shows reduced majority, but that’s due to lower voter turn out. If you don’t know how to count percentage, then learn from a primary school kid. Anyway, talk what u like as DAP won, and will win in Teluk Intan…..because we are Karpal Singhs!
More than 45 thousand voters rather stay at home
It’s ok because DAP won. And we are karpal singh! Yeah!
Hahahaha! I wonder how come you are no terengganu adun…….Then you can get millions and in the process, buy lotsa condos. Hahahahaha!
http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2014/05/29/pilihanraya-kecil-di-terengganu/
Anil,
How many millions go into the pocket? 10 millions? 50 millions? Guess why we need GST. You think it will stick to 6%. As an accountant yourself, you have known the processing cost in implementing GST. 10%? Heck, Indonesia also charge more than 10% liao
Yes, they purposely start GST at a low rate to hoodwink the people that it won’t be a burden on them. And then they raise the rate in subsequent years.
The admin cost in implementing GST is also going to eat up huge resources, not only of the government agencies but also of the businesses.
Anil,
The business owners would simply pass it to the consumers. Plus, don’t ask these goons from the government to bulls… me about many items not being charged with GST because so long that items such as petrol being charged, we kenna.
We must stop this implementation of GST by hook and crook because it’s like Hotel California. Once you go in, you can’t come out. You should know why. By the way, it’s not really low. Singapore set it at 3%. Me guess even 6% also not enough for najib. Wanna bet, 2016, GST increases to 10%
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h0G1Ucw5HDg
It doesn’t matter if she gets elected. She has already won. Bright future for her.
First of all, i must say, spot on Awang !!! Yes, i fully agree with Anwar for calling THOSE chinese who vote BN as bodoh. Why not? They called you pendatang and penceroboh, they asked you to go back to China, they threatened you with 513, etc etc etc and yet you still kiss their hands and vote for them comes very 5 year just because they give you some cooking oil, one kati of rice, lucky draws, concerts and free char kuih teow prior to every ge, and you vote for them to persecute you, if this is not… Read more »
What about the Malays who voted BN. Why did Anwar did not tell them where is their dignity.
Anwar has admitted that the majorities of the population who are poor are the Malays
Anil can always stop me from using this space.No problem as like I said before, I can always move on to others pasture. There are many which we are fighting in not just this one.
I believed Anil will always uphold this main theme “`Let justice flow like a mighty river“`
Whether I or you are like this Anil theme, history will prove it in due course
You are all welcome here. Just be civil with one another. Can agree to disagree.
Don`t pity me please, I can stand on my feet even with all your onslaught. But you really need a crutches in Awang. Every one can see it very clear.
You talked alot, an awful lot, have you ever contributed funds ( no matter how little) to Mr. Anilnetto’s work? You are the one reader who takes up the most space, just do something. And you are fighting on so many fronts? Come on, in modern society, no one welcomes turncoats. They are wary, scared, that they may ‘stabbed’ from behind. Et tu Brute said Julius Caesar, and it is Brutuses like you that we are scared off. Good riddance Yang (pandai ka bodoh). Berambuslah. PR does not need you. I think ever Mah Siew Keong will distance himself from… Read more »
Why is DAP becoming an apologist for PAS?
http://www.malaysia-today.net/why-is-dap-becoming-an-apologist-for-pas/
(NST) – Teluk Intan parliamentary by-election DAP candidate Dyana Sofya Mohd Daud’s confusing statements on her stand on hudud, and her mother’s affiliation with Malay rights group Perkasa show that her actions are being controlled by DAP.
http://www.malaysia-today.net/teluk-intan-dyana-sofyas-confusing-statements-on-hudud/
Yang read too much into NST biased reporting?
Yang lost money through property speculation. And recently Penang state government imposed some anti speculation legislation and so that figures
Who is the housing state chairman? Hahahahaha! The truth shall set your free.
Amen, anil
looes74 : You are wrong. On the contrary I am much better off. Like my friend said, a blessing in disguise. Anyway I still move around with many of them but I am not and will never be the mole
Mah could become a minister if he wins the by-election?
To all the MCA & Gerakan Chinese voters. Please don’t send your own kind to the umno den to be bullied & humiliated. Be honest with yourself, after 50+ years, the Chinese are now called pendatang, intruders, … and now ingrates. You really think Mah can tell them to stop this or face another person like the umno FT youth chief who shouted at a Chinese “Saya cakap, kamu dengar, faham?”.
Teluk Intan voters should ask what has Mah achieved in his previous stint as MP?
Answer: Nada, nothing, nought, diddly squat, zilch. kosong.
My prediction saudara Anilnetto, Dyana to win by 7,500 votes. She will secure 19,000 votes from Pasir Bedamar alone, let whatever the pundits say. Ada “Yang pandai, ada Yang bodoh”. The Chinese/Indian votes at Pasir Bedamar will not shift, just like in Bukit Gelugor. She will secure a minimum of 8,500 Malay votes from the Malay community, and the Malay community is very very angry indeed. The fiascos at Penang and Kuala Lumpur had shamed this civilized race. The fact that UMNO always pride itself as the Champion of Islam and the Malays, are their works so far in Teluk… Read more »
Awang, I just loved you when you come marching in. Dyana 7500 majorities, dream on baby. Like the Thomas cup team when LCW (Anwar) is gone PR will soon go into oblivion. You and PR Anwar characteristic of aping UMNO is clearly evident that DAP is looking at defeat. Anwar bodoh is enough to swing the Chinese votes with the exception of some CAT supporters who like a bodoh still laugh and take it as a humour.
You are only a little educated in Penang politics, other than that, you are just like a first year political science student. Just look at your comments.
I remembered you once asked, who knows Kak Wan during the Kajang by election, and everyone knows the BN candidate.
How laughable indeed. That showed your political immaturity immensely.
To reply to your comment is to give you a little face, under normal circumstances, I will not reply. Continue to rant, but, just like Mah Siew Keong, you will know by 8pm Malaysian time on 31st May.
Seriously I hope what you say is true. Really
Even looes74 does not have much confidence in Dyana. He is hoping that it is true
Awang, You do not have to give me face and neither do I have to as I don`t owe you, PR or the CAT a living, You spin lies and untruth, I rebut you but being gracious I would not resort to dirty tactic like name calling. Its either BN or PR or me and you You don`t reciprocate it means you are either afraid or unable to rebut the truth. Your current emotion just like the key of calling bodoh bodoh only proved one thing. Insecure and desperate. Like Anwar who have now resort to calling Chinese who vote… Read more »
Humility is a virtue. Come come Anil will teach you about such virtue in details
Yes humility is an issue but to be firmed in one principle is also one.
Hahahaha! Firmed……Why do I have a strange feeling when you mention that? Kee chik can tell you why
B’ FOR BODOH! Mah cries foul over defaced campaign poster
Full article: http://www.malaysia-chronicle.com/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=290811:b-for-bodoh-mah-cries-foul-over-defaced-campaign-poster&Itemid=2#ixzz3307GMeVN
Follow us: @MsiaChronicle on Twitter
We can clearly see the characteristic of which party or supporters is involved as evident here.
Could well be ‘self inflicted’ to gain sympathy votes?
We should ask Yang, Nar Nar and where the heck Gerakan K. Why Ahmad Maslan cabut from the reporters? HAHAHAHA!
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/ahmad-maslan-evades-media-after-dap-members-switch-sides-fiasco
I wonder if anything happen to Maslan when he drop into the longkang
PONTIAN BY ELECTION……..Yay!
I strongly propose that we must have by election every month, I guarantee GST is mampus
We must give credit to those reporters who probe the ‘organiser’ Pewaris and its patron Maslan that tried to buy votes at Teluk Intan with 1Malasyai goodies.
For the first term the wind of change is still strong. Come when Anwar goes to jail and PAS jostled for hudud, DAP will be just like the typhoon that soon wither off at the next GE. Bukit Gelugor majorities have been reduced drastically and DAP is looking into defeat in Teluk Intan.
Young Malay girls and women will vote DAP. The Chinese votes will always remain intact with the DAP. The Indians will be at status quo. I don’t see how a man who has already been discarded twice will make it this time. This is politics. Not boxing. A reject remains a reject. It’s Dyana with between 3000-4000. votes.
DAP have been rejected countless times in the polls the past 40 years. LKS and the late Kapal have also been rejected several times in the state seats until they have to take shelter in parliamentary seat. Even so they were slayed in 1999. So is Jagdeep who was defeated in Datuk Keramat twice until only when the wind of change come. But he and Rayer will sure lose in next GE. You can be sure of that. And I also recalled many DAP who have lost their deposit. This is what I called the DAP arrogant after having taste… Read more »
Sam is right. There are many UiTM graduates who do not subscribe to the Umno ideology and would be inspired by Dyana to speak out. This is a tipping point and Umno is really desperate. Gerakan Penang chief Teng Chang Yeow again demonstrating his lack of intelligence by attacking Dyana. People of Teluk Intan should realise that Gerakan is a spent force in Penang and will serve no use in Teluk Intan.
LGE put it correctly: Teng Chang Yeow should be ashamed for his name-calling of Dyana as a ‘3N’ candidate – no integrity, no honesty and no sincerity – when he was rejected twice by voters in Penang in the 2008 and 2013 general elections…
DAP supremo Lim Kit Siang today said that the victory for Dyana Sofya Mohd Daud in Teluk Intan is at the hands of outstation voters, whom he called kingmakers. He issued a second S.O.S to them today, urging them to come back and vote for Dyana:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VEjsQVdSnZQ
Meanwhile, BN is now giving out goodies at Teluk Intan:
Thanks for the video. Umno is giving out (bribing?) 1Malaysia goodies via its ‘NGOs’ and Mah chose not to know for fear of angering chinese voters?
Hi Anil, just a small donation towards your great work. I will bank in RM200.00 in your account
Thank you very much, Elizabeth. Much appreciated.
If turnout as good as GE2013, 7000 majority
Yesterday Anwar said the Chinese who vote BN are stupid. Is this not racial. Why did he not said the Malays who vote BN are also stupid. Do you believed in his explanation or otherwise.
http://www.malaysia-chronicle.com/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=290651:but-it-is-stupid-to-vote-bn-when-umno-is-anti-chinese-gerakan-upset-at-anwars-stupid-remark&Itemid=2#axzz32zbdoJRt
When BN UMNO call the other races names, ungrateful or stupid, it is demeaning, serious and insensitive but when PKR Anwar called the Chinese stupid and Rayer called the United MalayNO celaka it is not racial and insensitive but a joke and for fun. My goodness and the PR non Malay can still laugh.
Anwar did not say all Chinese were stupid. He said Chinese supporters of BN were stupid. After being insulted thoroughly by UMNO, they would still beg and ask for more. Ditto Rayer. He called the 3 hate mongers in UMNO Celaka which was very befitting. Succinct words in right occasions.
The point of argument here is why must Anwar just said Chinese who vote BN as stupid but do not refer to Malays who also vote BN as stupid. Is this not racial or segregative Likewise Rayer did mentioned the word Malay celaka but why does he not just mentioned the 3 adun name instead of using races. Whether he meant the 3 adun or not is your guess as well as my. He only point it out only the the incident become serious From what we can see Anwar is a hypocrite. It only means one thing. The Malay… Read more »
Gerakan M (Mah) now fear backlash from owncamp. What do you think after you hav listened to the recent speech by this UMNO top gun ?
Gerakan Mah has by himself promised development for Teluk Intan, but he has also attached a disclaimer that it is subjected to approval by BN Umno! How to trust such promise?
Leaning Tower of Teluk Intan to become UNESCO certified per Gerakan M (Mahathir agrees to that?)
Mah stated out clear he’s not Gerakan K type who likes back door senatorship, but he may become special ambassador to somewhere like Panda ambassador Ong KT ?
Furthermore … Mah says that he can’t guarantee promises made by his BN counterparts UMNO
Najib will appoint Mah to be ‘Halal Ambasador’ to promote Malaysian halal food (minus Cadbury chocolate) at Xian, China, after this by-election.
henson
Speaking of panda, some people has suggested that the 2 pandas to Malaysia be renamed as Lang Lang 浪浪 & Fei Fei 费费.
In Mandarin. LangFei 浪费 means WASTAGE.
How appropriate!