LIVE discussion on this blog tomorrow from 4.00pm to 5.00pm
A Pas grassroots source tells me that he feels the odds in Hulu Selangor are 46:54 in the BN’s favour, with a margin of error of plus/minus 2 per cent. (I asked him how come his instincts are so precise!)
Niz Aziz having dinner with Zaid Ibrahim tonight before hitting the ceramah circuit. They will attend a PKR Chinese dinner in Rasa at 9.30pm attended by 2,000 people. Nik Aziz will also be speaking at a DAP ceramah in Asam Kumbang and a PKR ceramah in Batang Kali – Photo courtesy of Fahmi Fadzil
Another Pas source, an MP, who has campaigned in Hulu Selangor, concedes that Felda areas are proving “difficult to penetrate”. All the top guns will be descending there in the next couple of days. Najib, for instance, has reportedly distributed RM50,000 each to 100 Felda settlers and promised more money. (How blatant can you get! – and this was aired over television news at 8.00pm.)
In the kampung areas, however, he says the word is that some BN supporters are not in favour of the MIC candidate: they feel that Umno should represent them instead. “There is even talk that Pakatan should be handed victory so that, the next time around, the BN candidate would be from Umno,” according to the Pas MP. “This gives us a bit of hope.”
Despite the BN holding the edge in the kampungs and plantations, the Pas MP says momentum for Pakatan in these outlying areas has been rising from an estimated 26 per cent support on nomination day to around 36 per cent now.
The Pakatan machinery in Hulu Selangor, however, had not been running at optimum level. Until recently, PKR had been heading the operations and “maybe they are not that experienced”.
Since then, Pas has stepped up a couple of gears from supporting the Pakatan machinery to playing a leading role in the campaign, according to the MP. “We have now mobilised 60-70 per cent of the Pas national machinery compared to 20-30 per cent earlier.’
If at all Pakatan wins, the MP expects the majority to be small, perhaps 500 to 1,000.