Who will win the Johor state election?

Total seats up for grabs: 56

Let’s see if the dark horses Bersama and the progressive block of Muda and PSM can upset the durian cart and confound mainstream analysts and even AI.

Abdul Rahman Kasim, who is now campaigning for Pas in Endau, predicts:

• Pas: 4-5 seats
• Bersatu: 1-2 seats
• Total PN: 5-7 seats
• BN: 30-35 seats
• PH: 16 seats
• Bersama: 2 seats

Ilham Centre predicts:

• BN leading in 39 seats
• PH leading in 9 seats
• 8 highly contested seats

Gemini AI predicts:

• BN: 35-42 seats
• PH: 10-16 seats
• PN: 1-4 seats
• Muda/PSM: 0-1 seat
• Bersama: 0

Claude AI predicts:

• BN: 43 seats
• PH: 9 seats
• PN: 4 seats
• Bersama/Muda/PSM: 0

ChatGPT predicts

• BN: 35 seats (range 33-39)
• PH: 17 seats (range 14-20)
• PN: 4 seats (range 2-6)
• Others/independents: 0

ChatGPT predicts the following vote share:

• BN: 44%
• PH: 34%
• PN: 20%
• Others: 2%