LIVE discussion on this blog today from 4.00pm to 5.00pm
Some 10,000 people turned up for a PKR ceramah at Sungai Buaya in Hulu Selangor last night, seemingly supporting the optimism in some PKR circles of a favourable result.
The crowd packed an area the size of a football field. For details, go here.
Another 2,000 turned up for a PKR Chinese dinner in Rasa last night.
A PKR MP told me he was confident of a positive result. “On paper, there is no way we can lose.” But he cautioned a lot would depend on how smooth polling day is tomorrow, especially if the 13,000 voters, whose polling stations have been changed, can find their correct polling centres.
I asked him about reports that the BN holds the edge, and he replied, “That has been our strategy (to let them believe they have the edge).” Presumably, to avoid complacency and to go in as the underdog.
His sense of the mood in the kampungs is that Pakatan is only trailing the BN marginally, but if all voters were taken into account, then victory was within reach.
But hasn’t there be an erosion in support for Pakatan since the last general election?
“Any erosion in support would be more than compensated by the gains we have made, for example, in the Orang Asli areas,” he pointed out, citing the favourable response to campaign events organised for the Orang Asli to support his assertion.
An intellectual associated with PKR, however, had a contradictory view and sounded disillusioned. “I think it (the seat) is gone. They (PKR) had two years to look into the issues, but they neglected it. They knew the guy was ill, but what did they do during the two years? Look Selangor is the jewel in the party’s crown.”
What sort of issues? “Drains, water, land titles – they have left it until too late.”
So two different views here. What do you think?
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long time never hear from K, why you delete your Gerakan. You should be Gerakan k…
I think you are the one who ” syiok sendiri” and “rindu bayangan”. I think Kugan and Teoh Beng Hock will tell you why BN going to lose.
Sweet dream tonight….
This should have been an UMNO seat considering the demographic composition of the constituency. Had BN fielded Mike Tyson, it would have saved us the anxiety and monies. No campaign by UMNO Baru is needed, but because the petulant weakling MIC is fielded, we have to go through so much trouble and waste of public funds. MIC should look for winnable seats to contest come the next GE. They should not contest and let fellow members of the coalition, in this case UMNO doing all the canvassing. As it is, this MIC candidate will not be able to serve the… Read more »
Anil Anil You are an experienced political observer to be fooled by some spin put up by PKR spinmasters. MI put the crowd at 5k as was Mkini. People on the ground told me it was around 3 to 5k. And most of these people (estimated 70%) were non voters from PAS and also Pakatan supporters around Klang Valley and even as far as Penang. If you check around, you know that there were convoys of DAP and PKR supporters in cars and buses headed to HS last Friday. Also you know if you check that there are thousands of… Read more »
“Saya sudah check depan dan belakang, sampai seluar dalam. Kita tak nak orang yang suka enjoy … Kita nak orang yang bekerja,”kata Najib.
WOW..Najib has checked thoroughly on this kamal. Previous experience checking on saifool prevails..(?)
A win for BN will basically encourage them to go even dirtier in the next election. I will doa for Zaid to win.
Hulu Indian and Malay,
Please wake up after 53 yrs BN rules! There are so many corruptions going on, high crime rates, racism, and etc would you still want to continuing support BN? Don’t you want to have better and clean polician like Zaid? It is sad if you still want to support BN!! Maybe PKR need to find a better way to educate and make those living in rural areas have better understanding.
Hmmmmmm, I wonder if there is anyone working overtime tonight preparing (any) fake votes for tomorrow night count, just in case? Perhaps a simple black out will all they need…?
This is like a battle of good over evil, a small band of rebels against the evil empire, Luke Skywalker vs. Darth Vader, Jedi knights battling stormtroopers. May the good guys (PR) win!
Latest survey shows that PKR is narrowing he gap. Lets us all continue with our effort even until tomorrow to convince the people in HS to vote Zaid at whatever means we can. And good luck to Zaid….. Lets us all bring down that down trodden corruptible BN UMNO now and in the next GE
The Malays in the Felda schemes must be very cautious with najib’s “promise” of settling the felda compensation issue. This issue has remained stagnant for years and only now when there is a by election they talk about settling the issue. It sounds exactly like samy vellu talking about settling the Maika issue. See if this issue will be settled if bn wins..ha..ha.. What is important now is the big picture of a political and social reform to save our nation and the future of out children. We must vote in favor of restoring true democracy, eradication of corruption, upholding… Read more »
Don’t be misled by the 10,000 ceramah crowd. Remember that there are about 5,000 PAS supporters from Kelantan in HS now who are not registered voters there. They might be making up the big numbers in the PKR ceramahs.
I think all must be done to make sure PKR registered voters in HS go out to vote tomorrow. Such as providing transport, etc.
However, having said that, I think that some of the MIC indians(Palanivel’s camp) might sabotage….. to vote for PKR.
Some Umno people also might not go out to vote bcoz they were not given the seat.
Tonight at Stad KKB, the crowd could be 20 – 30K. Mark my word. Seems outstation voters hv come home in droves.
Anil, latest count PR 55%, BN 45 %. God works in mysterious ways.
Bismillah irahman irahim,
Aha folks, surveys conducted by Zentrum Future studies confirmed my datas as at 23/04/10
PR in the lead at 51.7%
UMNO Baru at 48.3%
Press home the advantage Pakatan Rakyat!
Zaid Ibrahim to Parliament, and help the folks regardless of race and kindly look into the sufferings of the Indians who had suffered for the past 53 years, because they trusted MIC.
Insyallah, may PR build on the lead!
Have to say, this contest better than a EPL game. Its better World Cup games.
The sampling does not take into account the cheating of moving 13,000 voters. If its that close, PR can still lose..
We pray for PR to win this by-election for the sake of our future generation. Even if PR loses, it is no big deal what not with the millions of dirty money thrown in by UMNO. GE13 will be the real gauge when BN just cant throw money or give instant mee at every constituency. If PR loses by 1000 or less votes, it is already a victory of sort.
Despite all the analysis, Zaid Ibrahim to win. Why? Latest turnaround, UMNO members are reportedly sabotaging 1PMs efforts. Those in Mike Tyson group will not go out to vote, similary those associated with Zahid and Mdin will refrain from voting come voting day. Because of internal strifes within UMNO, they are willing to lose this seat, only to “win” it back during the next GE. Those UMNO warlords fighting for Mike Tyson have lost tremendous face in the eyes of their supporters and that too, they lost to the irrelevaant weakling MIC. They want a Malay to represent them, and… Read more »
“will the Indians ever have a chance under MIC?”
O, come Monday morning please remember to ask the Indians the above question.
I like to know the answer too.
I like to know why in the world they still so loyal to the one political party which has cheated them for so long.
You see the Chinese already deserted MCA. But the Indians? Still hot hot for MIC.
Iron, Check with your friends what the reading is like for Indian votes. I can safely tell you at least 40% are with the PR now. The youths are with PR. It is the same with the Chinese, the older generation will vote for MCA. Anyway, if there is no sway in Chinese votes at 78%, and if Indian votes stay at 40% and Malay votes at 40%, Zaid should be safely through. The Indians are with PR too. Only the poor community always hero worship heroes, and the educated like Uthayakumar, Kamala are manipulating … them. Look at what… Read more »
“The older generation will vote for MCA”
Hey O, my mum has been voting for the oppositions since Mederka, first PPP and then DAP. Many of the older generations relied on the young people for advise.
i sense BN will win this round. and majority is 1000 to 2000 vote. of course they wining is not cause they done a good job or changed. but only money politic.
they can win by election and cheat themselve in short term. when GE 13. its wont easy for them to use 10 cover to close 1000 holes.
Depends on today.
It would be close.
Excluding the possibility of phantom voters – even if BN wins they gonna win by only a few hundreds votes.
And if things go well today PR *could* win – that is, if PR can turn out the Malay votes.
Trekked down to Hulu Selangor from Ipoh to observe the ongoing campaign by both PAKATAN and BN. Given a free Utusan newspaper at a petrol kiosk in Ulu Bernam. A flyer was slotted in this newspaper that urged Hulu Selangor voters to support BN. Normally, only the Chinese voters are smart at concealing their ‘true feelings’. They can be seen to support BN in the open but only god knows their choice when voting comes. This time, I was impressed by the Malay voters in Hulu Selangor ability to play along with what the BN campaigners wanted i.e. to show… Read more »
pkr lies a lot.nothing tangible in selangor,just
give aways.what developent?
they will not have my vote.
My vote will offset your vote. So it is even.
Yes, BN is the saviour of the country. They never lie. Politics young boy, is a game of deception!
you mean there’s development by BN the previous 50 years? you mean the estates there have actually develop?
The turn-out crowds does not guarantee a win.
Crowds love to attend opposition gathering cos it’s more interesting as compare to the regime.
End of the day, the race sentiments and $$$$ power and the result is in favour of BE-END.
Honestly the have won , they have won honestly???
I hope PR and Nik Aziz will campaign all the way until the end. We want to say no to this corrupted BN Govt. Enough us enough!
“I hope PR and Nik Aziz will campaign all the way until the end.”
Can you spare some mercy on the old Tok Guru, please?
The frail Tok Guru is doing everything he can to help the Pakatan. Even with his frail body – plus the fact he just came back from Mecca – he came to Hulu Selangor.
Do not expect Tok Guru to continue doing this forever.
PR has to carry on the torch.
And one more thing about Pakatan ceramahs. They don’t necessarily turn into votes, mind you Anil. This is no more March 8.
True !
With frogs emerging from under rocks everywhere, there are Rakyat’s who are fed up too.
Don’t forget that !
Good point Ahmad….
10% of the crowds were plain cloth cops; 10% are just curious on lookers. 10% are not old enough to vote. 10% didn’t even bother to register to vote; 10% are non HS residents; 10% are PR volunteers; 10% are fence sitters; and the reminder could be locals that perhaps half of them are PR and the other half are not, give or take. Hmmmm, number don’t tell you a correct picture!
It is very simple to gauge…hard cores on both sides of the political divide will remain the same. It is the fence sitters and ‘moving voters’ that will determine the final result.
If the Indian electorate remain faithful to the color of their skin and do not think Malaysians, they will be doomed!…so bite the bullet my Indian brothers, your lives will be stagnated again for the next half century, marginalized!…if you returned to the UMNO-BN mafia!
If you think UMNO is dirty now, wait till GE13.
It will stink to high heaven.
Intimidation.
Photochopped pictures of Zaid drinking bottled beer.
More intimidation.
Transferring 13,000 voters out of (their usual polling) district days before the by-election.
Even more intimidation.
Linking the raising of horses to gambling.
Even much more intimidation.
Illegal arrests of students of political science stream learning the political process.
Even much much MUCH more intimidation.
It already stinks to high heaven mon !
By GE 13 the stench will rise way above heaven.