GST, higher cost of living could determine Permatang Pauh by-election outcome

16
482

Just as in Rompin, the GST and the higher cost of living are likely to be uppermost among voters’ concerns in Permatang Pauh.

A mainland Penang resident reports:

“On Monday night, I went to a ceramah nearby. Dr Toh Kin Woon and Tian Chua were among the speakers. Among the issues raised: GST, the crackdown against the opposition, 1MDB, financial abuses, corruption. As a conscientious voter in Permatang Pauh, I offered my services as polling agent, counting agent, booth agent and even transport service, but they have enough. They only need call centre agents to call voters to vote.”

A couple of weeks ago, a Pas grassroots leader, a pro-Hadi guy, told me that Pas would heed instructions from the party headquarters to help in the campaign. But, he said, the grassroots Pas machinery would be unlikely to go all out doing the “dirty (manual) work” on the ground unlike in the past.

Indeed, one activist who visited Permatang Pauh yesterday noted PKR’s poor election machinery in the area and predicted a reduced majority for the party.

A PKR politician who has been campaigning in Permatang Pauh says the main issues he can see on the ground are GST and the higher cost of living.

He doesn’t think hudud is a major issue; in that respect, perhaps it is just as well that the mainstream Pas presence is a little low key and allows PKR to distance itself from the Pas conservatives.

Some have expressed reservations about the choice of Wan Azizah as candidate while others say there could be election fatigue in the area.

To this, the PKR politician insisted, “Anwar’s popularity is still intact.” Some argue the fact that the BN candidate is a local guy would work in the BN’s favour. But the PKR politician counters this by arguing that Anwar himself is from Permatang Pauh.

The style of campaigning has also changed over the years, he observes; more emphasis is now being given to social media and cellphones.

Still, he expects a lower turnout which he thinks will dent Pakatan’s winning majority to around 5000.

For me, the big question is whether the majority of those not showing up will be out-of-town Pakatan voters or BN supporters disgruntled with GST/the higher cost of living.

If it is anything like Rompin, then the lower turnout could hurt BN more. But in Permatang Pauh, the added unknown is how many Pas supporters, especially in Permatang Pasir, will stay away as well.

Please help to support this blog if you can.

Read the commenting guidlelines for this blog.
Subscribe
Notify of
guest

16 Comments
Most Voted
Newest Oldest
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
oracle
oracle
7 May 2015 11.47am

Mahathir: Orang kampung tak faham isu 1MDB
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VgAfPhmGrnY

fred
fred
7 May 2015 9.22am

Kay Peng is not Kay Kim. Kay Peng got janggut always appears to be smarter than viewers in giving out his opinions. Some say he was a remnant from pre308 GRK who still holds grudges only RTM can provide avenue for him to let go his steams.

Awang Selamat Ori
Awang Selamat Ori
6 May 2015 9.03pm

ABCD… Asalkan Bukan Cap Dacing to PAS members! To UMNObaru, it is Asalkan Bukan Cina DAP seperti Yang tak bijak! I received a message (apparently) from (a) racist party, saying UMNO baru lost in Chinese areas in Rompin and urged me to go out to “ajar mereka” in Permatang Pauh. Stupid, like Yang bodoh, in Rompin pun ada Chinese majority area ka? Wakakakaka! They did not mention they lost in Felda areas! There are less than 1,600 Chinese voters in Rompin. It is stupid people like these that puts me off voting BN! … I RECEIVED THIS MESSAGE AT 12.40… Read more »

Ed G
Ed G
7 May 2015 10.45am

‘They did not mention they lost in Felda areas!’. Did this has anything to do with the current stock price of the Felda Global Venture (FGV)?

Awang Selamat Ori
Awang Selamat Ori
6 May 2015 8.14pm

Anil, there is no doubt PKR will win and win convincingly! I was at Petron Jalan Tenggiri where BN and PR have their operations booths opposite each other. As usual BN side had nothing to say and no one bothers to listen to them. They were blaring those patriotic songs at very loudly, perhaps to disturb the huge presence of PKR supporters and workers. They were distributing mailers on 1MDB, Altantuya, GST and a lot more. And mind you I observed out of 10 cars, 8 stopped to receive and read the mailers. Another thing I observed in Permatang Pauh… Read more »

Yang
Yang
7 May 2015 10.59am

I remember back then in the 90s where there were such a huge crowd during the DAp ceramah in the Taman Free School areas. The crowd covered the whole road and traffic cannot passed through. When come election, DAP lost heavily. A big crowd never ensure victory. What you are talking is only 1 or 2 or your particular case and does not reflect the general situation. Now you have finally admitted there will be a smaller majorities. IT WILL BE TOO CLOSE TO CALL !!!!!. You should admit that ???. Anyway hopefully my prediction will be correct with BN… Read more »

rajraman666
rajraman666
6 May 2015 4.19pm

If PKR think Hudud is not a major issue, then wait for the next election.
rajraman. I don’t know how Political Trader twist to get vote without principal. Hadi now knows Pakatan need him.
Shame but Political Trader don’t know what’s is shame and honor.

fred
fred
6 May 2015 3.51pm

The Star mentioned today that MICkeys has reached out to 50% of Indian voters at P Pauh.
MICkeys ain’t Sivaji my IndiN friends so be alerted !

fred
fred
6 May 2015 2.53pm

RTM last night got political analyst so called Prof Khoo Kay Peng to discuss by election. This guy is so anti Pakatan especially DAP that his reasoning is so clouded that his is not convincing at all. May be this is his way to ensure he regularly being call up to preach BN policies?

Yang
Yang
6 May 2015 3.30pm
Reply to  fred

You are too pro Pakatan. You should have explain and counter his reasoning but you gave a vague rebut here. Looking at the scenario though GST has some effect it is not much of an issue as compare to hudud and the betrayal by DAP & PKR couple with the fatique of another by election….

Yang
Yang
7 May 2015 10.49am
Reply to  Yang

No problem

han solo
han solo
6 May 2015 6.24pm
Reply to  fred

The so-called political analysts that appear on TV1, TV3, NTV7 and Astro Awani are clearly carrying the agenda of BN with their one-sided view. The purpose is to reinforce BN doctrine onto kampung folks who has no access to alternative media. Those professors from local universities have no choice but to be BN friendly in order to protect their career.

bctan1950
bctan1950
6 May 2015 10.23pm
Reply to  fred

Khoo Kay Peng a professor? Or is it Khoo Kay Kim?

bctan1950
bctan1950
7 May 2015 12.43pm
Reply to  fred

Fred, when did this Kay Peng become a professor? You must be joking, right?

fred
fred
7 May 2015 7.16pm
Reply to  bctan1950

Bogus professor bestowed by be end regime?

There is another political analyst with same name who had distanced from this “Prof”.