Kuala Kangsar, Sungai Besar by-elections: Quick comment

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So it looks as if the BN is heading for a comfortable victory in both parliamentary seats, judging by the congratulatory tweets issued by the likes of KJ.

What is clear is that the BN and, let’s not forget, Hadi’s Pas have succeeded in driving a wedge among opposition supporters, who have divided their votes between Amanah and Pas. Otherwise, the total opposition votes would have been closer to the BN’s tallies.

Amidst the gloom among those longing for change, there is a ray of hope over the performance of Amanah, which has given Pas a close race for second place in both seats despite being a new party. This should encourage Amanah to build further on its more progressive approach to Islam and distance itself from the conservatives.

The results also suggest that Hadi’s bill has not gained signficiant traction among Muslim voters in these two predominantly Muslim constituencies. With Pas performing relatively poorly, what does that say about popular support for Hadi’s bill? Given Pas’ poor showing in the Sungai Besar parliamentary seat in Selangor (where it won a string of seats in GE13), will Pas now go back to being a party confined to the East Coast?

If Pas has an unwritten pact with Umno in three-cornered fights, Pas may pip Amanah to second spot here and there.

But in the long-run, will Umno actually cede any of its traditional seats in the next general election for Pas to contest in straight fights with other opposition parties? If Umno doesn’t cede more than a handful of seats, Pas might find itself with a lot fewer elected reps in both Parliament and the state assemblies at the end of the day. How will the Pas rank and file react then?

READ MORE:  Peninsula Pakatan seat allocations in 2013 vs 2018

Perhaps opposition parties need to take a step back and look at what kind of alternative economic ideology they have to offer compared to the BN’s corporate-led, neoliberal, mega project-driven approach.

If the Pakatan’s economic policies are essentially the same as the BN’s, with the only difference being their pledge of less blatant and rampant corruption, is this enough of an incentive for voters, including rural voters, who are struggling to make ends meet?

I mean, if all that is on offer is a choice between:

  • a fizzy cola drink with sugary goodies thrown in like RM400-1,050 annual Brim, the third instalment (RM200-300) for which was cynically brought forward from the scheduled 23 June to 15 June (three days before polling), and
  • ‘healthier’ diet cola with fewer calories (ie RM100 for senior citizens, etc, and supposedly minus the corruption),

should we be surprised if many voters opt for the sweeter fizzy cola?

What difference does it make to grassroots voters if there is less corruption? Under the existing model, is there any guarantee that had 1MDB money (for example) not been siphoned away, it would have been used for projects that really empowered the grassroots?

Isn’t it time opposition parties offer voters a healthier and nore nourishing option (raw fruit and veggie juice, to use the same analogy). Offer voters a different approach to development – one that is pro-people and pro-workers insteasls of adopting the same corporate-led or developer-led neoliberal, FDI-driven, trickle-down approach that perpetuates, if not widens, income inequality?

Apart from PSM, which recently held a roundtable on the causes of rural Malay poverty, have the other opposition parties really studied the root causes of rural poverty and identified the solutions?

READ MORE:  Pas in dreamland?

This is a must read: Let’s avert a complete rout of the opposition in GE14.

Meanwhile, the Malaysiakini report of selected voters lining up for post-election payouts needs to be investigated.

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49 Comments on "Kuala Kangsar, Sungai Besar by-elections: Quick comment"

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David Loman
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David Loman
“HOW CAN MALAYSIA’S OPPOSITION CREATE ANOTHER IJOK?” Article by Dr. Ong Kian Ming, Member of Parliament for Serdang on the 27th of June, 2016: (More than) A week has now passed since the Sungai Besar and Kuala Kangsar twin by-elections on the 18th of June, 2016. Much commentary and analysis has been written regarding the results. Having read through most of them, I hope to set the by-election results in the larger context of by-elections which have taken place since the 1999 general elections. By doing so, I hope that we identify the factors which are important for Pakatan Harapan… Read more »
Ranger
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Ranger

Najib will bankrupt the nation with 1MDB debt!

David Loman
Guest
David Loman
David Loman
Guest
David Loman

MCA is now in cloud nine!

A swing in Chinese votes in the next general election, as seen during last Saturday’s twin polls, could see the effects of 2013’s Chinese tsunami recede with negative consequences for the opposition.

Read more: https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346256#ixzz4CMylhM4Y

Stylo Logan
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Stylo Logan

MCA, MIC, Adenan and Gerakan oppose huddle. Are they too Kafir Harbi? Mufti Pahang should explain.

gk ong
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gk ong

Penang and Selangor governments can see clearly that BN can sway votes with goodies. So no point saving up the reserves if you do not spend the money to directly benefit your voters. Most of the Rakyat Malaysia respond favorably to Ah Jib’s Cash Is King, nevermind they get less than the corrupted politicians, as most BR1M recipients become setia BN supporters.

David Loman
Guest
David Loman

The recipients of MyDeposit were delighted with the BN government for giving them the maximum RM30,000 downpayment for their housing loan, which they need not pay back.

They expressed their gratitude and conceded they might consider voting for BN in the next general election, but said this generous act alone would not decide their votes.

Read more: https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/346424#ixzz4CRxX9r00

Phua Kai Lit
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Phua Kai Lit

Johan Khun Pana
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Johan Khun Pana
After reading Anil’s piece regarding the Penang’s FOI (Freedom of Information) Whoever , whomever & whichever party won the recent 2 “buy elections” really make no differences. As on one side of the ring we have Barisan Kangkong and on the other corner we have the Harapan Tin Kosong . At least in the good old days we get to have the Democrats versus the Communist. A clear defined border of 2 systems. Now it is just “Roti telor” versus “Nasi lemak sans telor” . If the General election is to be held tomorrow, i would just play mahjong with… Read more »
David Loman
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David Loman

Gerakan will give more instant goodies to Penangites.
Those with red ICs can start register with Gerakan before the next GE.
Mah is my candidate as the next Penang CM.

gk ong
Guest
gk ong

MCA and Gerakan will target those senior chinese uncles and aunties many if whom have no active income and taken care by their kids likely immigrated. With Dory-effect from dementia they are likely all but forgotten the ills of Gerakan era and readily support any candidate from party that can give them instant goodies. They have no issues with the mounting national debt in their twilight years where BR1M is a blessing.

zoro
Guest
zoro

free dinner and psy concert. no worry about gst and oil price down. more unis in pg. as telor anson can have one. more promises words cheap from gelakan

lim
Guest

How sad we still have people hoping for the ressurrection of gelakan to lead them, might as well dig a six feet hole and jump into it…

Jive
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Jive

Johan,
Beware underaged at Danok else you will be labelled Mat Buckle 🙂

Johan Khun Pana
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Johan Khun Pana

…. don’t forget that we did have a former Chief Minister of Malacca (cannot mention his name) (allegedly) did a teenager and a tokong went to jail.
But don’t worry, it is just an open option/opinion when the GE come and how we plan to spend the day.
Some of us are NOT going to vote .
Unless or until Pakatan is totally opposite of BN’s policies.

zoro
Guest
zoro

anil why you want to waste your time and resources? most commentors say there is no difference between the two groups and voting is to follow a pattern. this election,vote this party and next election the other party. eat roti telor today n nasi lemak tomorrow. wasting time. people are not going to change. cash is king

gk ong
Guest
gk ong

Honestly most Malaysians do not appreciate information, prefer to get viral messages on Facebook and WhatsApps.

David Loman
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David Loman
Wong Chin Huat wrote: WILL MAHATHIR BE BOLD AGAIN? BN’s strong showing is undoubtedly aided by its time-tested tactic of patronage politics, ranging from development projects to outright cash hand-out for returning voters. However, the success of the “cash is king” method in pushing aside national issues can also be understood as the lack of a “game changer”. From controversies over troubled state investment firm 1Malaysia Development Berhad to hudud, none of the issues raised in the by-elections is new. With the opposition base split into two cores, it would have taken a “game changer” to alter the by-elections. What… Read more »
Bigjoe
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Bigjoe

This is all nonsense. NO ONE Is speaking the obvious – THE RESULT IS ALL HADI’S PAS FAULT.. THEY DID THIS, HANDED IT TO NAJIB ON A SLIVER PLATTER..

gk ong
Guest
gk ong

Chinese swing back to MCA for fear that Umno could desert chinese party to bed Hadi PAS and enact Hudud. Azalina will be highly rewarded by Ah Jib …

Stylo Logan
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Stylo Logan

Azalina’s tomboyish hairstyle (LGBT reference?) should not be allowed in the parliament.
Remember the school girl with such hairdo was punished in Simpang Empat school in Kedah recently.

gk ong
Guest
gk ong

6 Reasons why PAS will join BN coalition, MCA please read:
https://hornbillunleashed.wordpress.com/2016/06/25/pas-is-bns-best-coalition-partner/

tunglang
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tunglang
MCA: DAP has failed to recognise that Chinese voters are pragmatic http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/06/19/mca-dap-failed-to-recognise/ PETALING JAYA: Chinese voters are pragmatic and this is why DAP is losing ground, said MCA Religious Harmony Bureau Chairman Datuk Seri Ti Lian Ker. “The double losses in Kuala Kangsar and Sungai Besar of which DAP are strongest in Perak and Selangor are another bitter pill for them to swallow. “It also shows that DAP is losing their iron tight grip on the Chinese voters so soon after their defeats in Sarawak,” said Ti in a statement on Sunday. He said that the by-elections showed that Chinese… Read more »
Jive
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Jive

Better not to be too engrossed with The Star skewed reporting otherwise you mind will be programmed accordingly.

zoro
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zoro

what pg people have to say? traffic jams and many cars. donr cut trees. build more low cost flats. but no brainer. if more low cost, more people move to pg island and more cars and island jam with people and cars caused by low cost housing. people are just cheap pasar traders.

tunglang
Guest
tunglang

Pray with less joss-sticks (day by day) facing Komtar Tower of Arrogance Towards Irrelevance.

tunglang
Guest
tunglang

‘Pakatan Harapan components should merge into one party’
https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/345870

What say you?
Now is the time for the demise of Chauvinistic Ego & a move forward to actual teamwork of truly multi-racial, diversity of cultural-religion interests minus the self-aggrandisement whatever the 308 Euphoria have had misled the masses.

tunglang
Guest
tunglang
The Chinese dilemma – have say in gov’t, or stay out in angry isolation? https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/345848 All eyes were on the twin by-elections in Kuala Kangsar and Sungai Besar as the locals headed to the polls. There were many things at stake and many parties had a lot to prove in that election. This election was also seen as a litmus test to see the public’s acceptance of Premier Najib Abdul Razak, with all the surrounding financial scandals that have plagued him for the past year. This election was also the first public test of the “Mahathir factor” and whether he… Read more »
Phua Kai Lit
Guest
Phua Kai Lit

How about a People’s Summit (in Penang first, and then for whole of Malaysia) ?

http://www.commondreams.org/news/2016/06/18/peoples-summit-progressive-gathering-fertilizing-momentum-bernies-revolution

Jive
Guest
Jive

Here’s the contact for Prof Sivamurugam :
http://www.soc.usm.my/index.php/en/anthropology-and-sociology/106-sivamurugan-al-pandian-dr

Prof Siva if you read this do contact Anil as well.

Jive
Guest
Jive

Jamal Yunos may replace Nor Omar as Selangor UMNO to recapture Selangor?

While in Penang, Teng CY has rested (had been rested) and may be Penang-Lang may opt for Huan CG of PCM yo take on LGE? Got to go to Snake Temple to seek the answer for many local folks?

Penang Relau hokkien community (migrated from SiaBoey in the late 70) now want MCA Penang to get ZhuGeLiang to entertain them before GE14 as Kuala Kangsar got OnlyYou on Friday night. ChewMeiFun do take note not to bring Hainanese singers but Hokkien ones else the community will not be happy.

David Loman
Guest
David Loman

Sekinchan chinese embraced Jamal Yunus, forget and forgave his red shirt follies. This could inspire Ahmad Ismail to win back the support of Penang Chinese? Bukit Bendera chinese will stand to get some instant goodies come GE14?

lim
Guest

As far as am concerned malaysia is finished simply because we have just too many unthinking rakyat. Whether they are malays or chinese they can be bought just too easily.

In another word these voters they support corruption etc etc etc.

I give up !!!

Jive
Guest
Jive

Time to migrate?

lim
Guest

Yes, Jive, i think my buddy, kee is right afterall…

However, not everyone is that fortunate or can adapt to foreign lives.

Jive
Guest
Jive

Can seek Johan’s advice to migrate to Danok?

zoro
Guest
zoro

so penang is not the most wonderful place. penang kia went to singland and one pg char bor become mp in singland

tunglang
Guest
tunglang
To quote: Perhaps opposition parties need to take a step back and look at what kind of alternative economic ideology they have to offer compared to the BN’s corporate-led, neoliberal, mega project-driven approach. Q: Isn’t this an exact carbon-copied approach by DAP in Penang? The tunnel vision of CAT to focus-target the younger generation (of urban electorate) with above approaches to woo them won’t work for now. The older generations will look at it with scepticism, more so at issues concerning housing & welfare for the old folks most of whom face unaffordable living via social-engineering. Materialism ala neoliberalism is… Read more »
sallang
Guest
sallang

Pakatan is still waiting for by-election or general election time to shout about manifestos, If they Win.
David, like you said, where to get the $ for projects?
I suggested to a Pakatan member, that they can put forward project proposals over the 5 years period, announce it in the press. When asked, their reply should be, ‘If they win’.
BN will be pressured to take up the projects, if they are practical, therefore benefits the rakyat.
Indirectly, Pakatan has shown to have better ideas to improve the livelihood of the people., but BN spent $ lah.

Lim Siang Yee
Guest
Lim Siang Yee

I hope to have a by-election at my area soon … so that GERAKAN can help me to get my Vietnamese wife A blue Malaysian IC in order to vote for BN.

zoro
Guest
zoro

you get a blue ic from gelakan bur u have to que behind teluk anson people. this gelakan minister has yet to build uni there as promised in buy election. even gelakan wawasan uni scare to set up in telor anson. lucky to have a vc wife. you can migrate there. vc are smarter over there than here. migrate there. kee and lim are thinking too. if stay too long become birds of feather.

lim
Guest

Zoro, kee is on the other side now, green green pasture…

How about you, share some . Thks

ST Lim
Guest
ST Lim

Knowledge Is Power
Cash Is King
Know your foes weaknesses, then use $ to counter them. That’s Najibomics that pull in rural votes.

zoro
Guest
zoro

Voters have unchanged mentality imagine still vote the candidate who need not to go out due to mouring. Also Gomen throw some crumbles, voters take it like finger licking good. Voters love to hear their representative to sing in Tamil song aiiyo yo sami minum teddy. So this representative will ding this davali? Voters are happy with few hundreds and never mind the 12m given to Gomen for the random.

Awang Selamat Ori
Guest
Awang Selamat Ori

If a GE is called now PH will be wiped out in Selangor and Penang and never to make a comebacj.

LGE is a disgrace to his community, no KM in Penang had ever been accused of corruption and the way his community is deserting PH, he should know better what to do next.

You can hear disatisfactions in the coffee shops, mamaks stalls and and popular eating joints. LGE your time is up just fade away.

You are tokong no more.

Phua Kai Lit
Guest
Phua Kai Lit

Very good analysis, Mr Anil

Danesh Prakash Chacko
Guest

Anil Netto: Word! I am fully concurrent with you

Jive
Guest
Jive

RTM 8.30pm jovial mood already indicated BN victory.

One of the invited panelist is USM dean or prof Sivamurugam, whose head is with BN while his heart is in conflict? Anilnetto.com may one day interview him (Siva regularly eat roti canai at Sg2 Mamak store near USM) to understand his real sincere thoughts?

tunglang
Guest
tunglang

Anil, go to Roti Bakar opposite USM 2nd Gate along Jalan Bukit Gambier for an interview with this professor.
It’s always a nice aircon place to discuss heated issues & bring down temperatures.
And don’t forget to use parking tickets cos the MBPP parking officers are too hardworking over there.