GST, higher cost of living could determine Permatang Pauh by-election outcome

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Just as in Rompin, the GST and the higher cost of living are likely to be uppermost among voters’ concerns in Permatang Pauh.

A mainland Penang resident reports:

“On Monday night, I went to a ceramah nearby. Dr Toh Kin Woon and Tian Chua were among the speakers. Among the issues raised: GST, the crackdown against the opposition, 1MDB, financial abuses, corruption. As a conscientious voter in Permatang Pauh, I offered my services as polling agent, counting agent, booth agent and even transport service, but they have enough. They only need call centre agents to call voters to vote.”

A couple of weeks ago, a Pas grassroots leader, a pro-Hadi guy, told me that Pas would heed instructions from the party headquarters to help in the campaign. But, he said, the grassroots Pas machinery would be unlikely to go all out doing the “dirty (manual) work” on the ground unlike in the past.

Indeed, one activist who visited Permatang Pauh yesterday noted PKR’s poor election machinery in the area and predicted a reduced majority for the party.

A PKR politician who has been campaigning in Permatang Pauh says the main issues he can see on the ground are GST and the higher cost of living.

He doesn’t think hudud is a major issue; in that respect, perhaps it is just as well that the mainstream Pas presence is a little low key and allows PKR to distance itself from the Pas conservatives.

Some have expressed reservations about the choice of Wan Azizah as candidate while others say there could be election fatigue in the area.

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To this, the PKR politician insisted, “Anwar’s popularity is still intact.” Some argue the fact that the BN candidate is a local guy would work in the BN’s favour. But the PKR politician counters this by arguing that Anwar himself is from Permatang Pauh.

The style of campaigning has also changed over the years, he observes; more emphasis is now being given to social media and cellphones.

Still, he expects a lower turnout which he thinks will dent Pakatan’s winning majority to around 5000.

For me, the big question is whether the majority of those not showing up will be out-of-town Pakatan voters or BN supporters disgruntled with GST/the higher cost of living.

If it is anything like Rompin, then the lower turnout could hurt BN more. But in Permatang Pauh, the added unknown is how many Pas supporters, especially in Permatang Pasir, will stay away as well.

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16 COMMENTS

  1. Kay Peng is not Kay Kim. Kay Peng got janggut always appears to be smarter than viewers in giving out his opinions. Some say he was a remnant from pre308 GRK who still holds grudges only RTM can provide avenue for him to let go his steams.

  2. ABCD… Asalkan Bukan Cap Dacing to PAS members! To UMNObaru, it is Asalkan Bukan Cina DAP seperti Yang tak bijak!

    I received a message (apparently) from (a) racist party, saying UMNO baru lost in Chinese areas in Rompin and urged me to go out to “ajar mereka” in Permatang Pauh.

    Stupid, like Yang bodoh, in Rompin pun ada Chinese majority area ka? Wakakakaka! They did not mention they lost in Felda areas!

    There are less than 1,600 Chinese voters in Rompin. It is stupid people like these that puts me off voting BN!

    … I RECEIVED THIS MESSAGE AT 12.40 FROM TELEPHONE NUMBER 017…

    THESE FOOLS ARE OUT TO CON AND TO MAKE THE MALAYS GO AGAINST THE CHINESE, BUT, I AM A MALAYSIAN FIRST!

    • ‘They did not mention they lost in Felda areas!’. Did this has anything to do with the current stock price of the Felda Global Venture (FGV)?

  3. Anil, there is no doubt PKR will win and win convincingly! I was at Petron Jalan Tenggiri where BN and PR have their operations booths opposite each other. As usual BN side had nothing to say and no one bothers to listen to them. They were blaring those patriotic songs at very loudly, perhaps to disturb the huge presence of PKR supporters and workers.

    They were distributing mailers on 1MDB, Altantuya, GST and a lot more. And mind you I observed out of 10 cars, 8 stopped to receive and read the mailers.

    Another thing I observed in Permatang Pauh opposite UITM today, was SPR officers stopping at a PKR booth and instructing the guys to take down posters with Najib’s face, with a question, ” Is the GST money meant to pay off the debts of the gomen”? How funny, PKR putting up Najib’s poster when BN is not doing so! Those were solid big posters and very prominent. Perhaps, Najib’s presence will make Permatang folks love PKR more?

    There were convoys of PKR supporters riding in motor bikes, cars, vans, lorries riding along busy road in Perai, Seberang Jaya, Penanti and Kubang Semang. PKR also offered free oil change for all motor cyclists at their booths near the Perai roundabout.

    And there was an incident where I had my nasi kandar yesterday, at the warung besides the mosque. Some idiots came up to stir trouble saying they are pro ulamak group, and with their loud speaker said they will not support any party that does not support hudud. Immediately, they were told to leave by a group of man who had been sitting in the warung. This is a solid PAS area and from their reactions, I can assure you that PKR will win handsomely. Their majority may be reduced but it will be a good win despite all the difficulties and sabotages! The folks in Kubang Semang love PR well, telling those trying to create a stir, “Leave, this is a solid Pakatan area”! How heart warming and reassuring!

    MCA? MIC? GELAKAN? I think these parties should just fold up to save the faces of their founding fathers. There was no reception for them at all.

    It is indeed a torture for members of these parties to “campaign” for 14 days when there are no listeners or supporters. Hanya Yang bodoh will listen to these dudes!

    Mr. Anil, it will be a good win for Kak Wan, no doubt about it. In difficult times like this a win, of any majority is an achievement, understanding the abuse of many acts against opposition lawmakers by the authority?

    Fikir fikirkanlah Anil bro.

    • I remember back then in the 90s where there were such a huge crowd during the DAp ceramah in the Taman Free School areas. The crowd covered the whole road and traffic cannot passed through. When come election, DAP lost heavily. A big crowd never ensure victory. What you are talking is only 1 or 2 or your particular case and does not reflect the general situation. Now you have finally admitted there will be a smaller majorities. IT WILL BE TOO CLOSE TO CALL !!!!!. You should admit that ???. Anyway hopefully my prediction will be correct with BN winning 300-500 votes majorities. Be prepared to walk naked in Penang Road.

  4. If PKR think Hudud is not a major issue, then wait for the next election.
    rajraman. I don’t know how Political Trader twist to get vote without principal. Hadi now knows Pakatan need him.
    Shame but Political Trader don’t know what’s is shame and honor.

  5. The Star mentioned today that MICkeys has reached out to 50% of Indian voters at P Pauh.
    MICkeys ain’t Sivaji my IndiN friends so be alerted !

  6. RTM last night got political analyst so called Prof Khoo Kay Peng to discuss by election. This guy is so anti Pakatan especially DAP that his reasoning is so clouded that his is not convincing at all. May be this is his way to ensure he regularly being call up to preach BN policies?

    • You are too pro Pakatan. You should have explain and counter his reasoning but you gave a vague rebut here. Looking at the scenario though GST has some effect it is not much of an issue as compare to hudud and the betrayal by DAP & PKR couple with the fatique of another by election….

    • The so-called political analysts that appear on TV1, TV3, NTV7 and Astro Awani are clearly carrying the agenda of BN with their one-sided view. The purpose is to reinforce BN doctrine onto kampung folks who has no access to alternative media. Those professors from local universities have no choice but to be BN friendly in order to protect their career.

      • Bogus professor bestowed by be end regime?

        There is another political analyst with same name who had distanced from this “Prof”.

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