Apr 022010
 

A survey has indicated that Perak would fall to the BN if snap polls were held now – but I am confused.

According to Malaysiakini:

A study by the independent think-tank Ilham Centre has shown that public support has swung back to BN, cemented with the recent court rulings in its favour.

In a poll of 1,031 people in the Kuala Sepetang state constituency last month, the centre surveyed Malays (59.96%), Chinese (31.67%), Indians (8.34%) and ‘Others’ (0.03%) to mirror the Perak population closely.

“More than 55 percent of those surveyed said that BN would win if there were to be a state election now,” said Ilham Centre’s managing director Mohd Azlan Zainal…

Now if just 53 per cent of the Malays (who make up 59 per cent of the respondents) recognise the BN government while at least two thirds of the non-Malays (who make up the remainder of the respondents) think the BN government is not legitimate, I don’t see how you can arrive at the conclusion that the BN can win the next state election. In fact, it would mean that the majority of all those with an opinion do not recognise the BN government in Perak.

Am I missing something here? Someone help, I am confused.

  80 Responses to “BN would win snap polls in Perak?”

  1. Yeah…Born2reign statistical analysis is correct. Since the sample population is localized to K.Sepetang, B2r approach to the analysis is accurate. There is no gerrymandering factor to consider. The % racial make up of this population is quite close to the national figure,hence, the level of confidence is >90%. I agree with him….whoever prepared the official conclusion just plucked it from very thin air in opposite direction. The stat don’t add up well for BN.

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  2. Anil

    Some ignorant umno pax said the RM100 came from Fed Govt. dunno how it got twisted to this extend.

    That Teng Hock Nan…..he better shut up.
    The RM100 can be seen extended to makcik2 pakcik2 in flats on taman sardon, etc. what Teng Hock Nan did past terns?…

    so UMNO top cream get the money….see mansions… oh pleaseeeeee….we know where the source from….like (one) mansion was build by a sub-con from the last mega Fed project in Penang…

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