What can we expect from the next general election, which a few believe may coincide with the Sarawak state election?
The last general election was widely described as a watershed general election, but real change is still some way off, although we are now closer to a viable two-coalition system.
Much has been said about the next election being make-or-break for Pakatan, especially if the Election Commission manages to push through a constituency redelineation exercise (which many believe would favour the BN, if experience is anything to go by).
Full article on Aliran website here.
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Early Election date???
“NAH!!!”. I doubt so.
BARISAN NASIONAL will FINISH-OFF Pakatan Rakyat SLOWLY. Can’t you see BN is slowly but surely releasing all the WORMS in PAKATAN RAKYAT’s rotten can???
Let’s allow all these WORMS to come out 1st & then call for an Election will the BEST way to bid FAREWELL to our “ONE TERM WONDER” called PAKATAN RAKYAT….
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Yeah right. ;P As much as you would want to see BN finishing off Pakatan by whatever means, you better be worried that the people are not as stupid as they are last time.
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Why an early election. If you vote in BN again, you can expect price increase in the aftermath and all of you will surely suffer. The coffer of Najib and UMNO BN cannot stand anymore lest they wait longer.
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Was told by Credit Card salesman that the RM50 fees would be removed this year. Also note the waiver of blacklist for Traffic summons till Feb 2011.
Anwar could be gong to prison soon, and further bail pending appeal may be denied.
Haj season is around the year end, so looks like it could be all falling in place.
Note that there is a 1/3 split among the Malays among PKR-PAS-UMNO. So if elections held during Haj season, PA would be on the losing end.
Murugiah jumps to MIC promising to bring in 20,000 (or was it 200,000?) supporters, latest reports show he can he ony missed the mark by 19,935.
The (Samy) … is still on the PMs back which the PM can’t budge, and one swallow does not make a summer, in relation to the swing among the India voters to BN in the last By-elections.
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Next GE will be in 2012. BN government will fully utilize the budget allocated (budget 2011 and 2012) for more purposeful activities.
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A NOTE TO VOTE ON
Let’s keep a mental note
Of what’s found in a tote
That will influence the vote
Of all inside and outside the cote
(C) Samuel Goh Kim Eng – 120810
http://MotivationInMotion.blogspot.com
Thur. 12th Aug. 2010.
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Samuel
Lu boleh tulis pantun melayu tak?
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Trying to predict GE is like trying to predict dynamic systems – the whole thing keep shifting and its not so simple anymore.
Firstly, the economic outlook will not be good until way into next year. So its not going to happen at least until then.
Secondly, its clear they want to try to put Anwar away before they do it because Anwar is, by far, the best election campaigner in any party. In additin there is other key issues like TBH and PKFZ case which they want to deal with.
Among the intelligent one in UMNO, its already accepted that the general trend favours PR and UMNO/BN cannot beat it back. The idea is to take the sail out of the trend so that the GE would not be a disaster. The 3 issues added with with machining, the realistic expectation is hold the line against PR.
The issue is a bunch of things have cropped up including Felda issues, Taib wealth, the Allah ban and now possible Mahathir not happy with Najib.
So it will be clear that there is no good time for Najib to go for GE. So he will do what a mediocre leader does. He will go for it when he realises his option is all used up and he can give the best excuses for any potential setback.
I think the biggest factor will be how the jailing of Anwar affect the GE. If PR cannot spin Anwar eventual jailing successfully, he will go for election ASAP. If its unclear or will be a signficant issue, he has to delay as long as he can. PR single biggest preparation for the next GE, over all its other organisational issue, is still the Anwar factor, with or without him.
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Come next election, with or without Anwar, BN is finish. People are feed-up with Umno, Mic, Mca, Ppp dll. They always play up with race issues and warn ‘May 13′ will happen again. They can’t compete with PR policy. Want BN can’t deliver in 53 years, PR will/have able to deliver them in 2 years time.
Sayonara……..BN!
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Mari undi ramai-ramai
Untuk menjatuhkan BN
Dalam pilihanraya akan datang
Demi menjamin masa depan
Untuk anak cucu kita
Sebelum negara jadi muflis
Apabila BN terus membazir duit rakyat
Dengan rasuah dan tipu helah
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There can be a unified Parliamentary election when Parliament is dissolved, but, that too for the Federal Government only, as far as State Elections are concerned, it is going to be fought on PR’s terms and conditions. They decide and not UMNO/BN. Good development indeed.
There is a possibility of an early election, perhaps by the first half of next year, as economic indicators are again pointing that USA is again expected to go into a recession 12 months from now. And what happens in USa will affect Malaysia.
And also the BN’s coffers, particularly UMNO is fast drying up. They got to try to win the election by all means so that they can continue to conjure their tricks to fill up their coffers at the Rakyat’s expense. How do you fancy the price of water to be more expensive than fuel in Selangor? According to the contract signed by Khir Toyo to his crony, that (may well have been) the situation had PR not won Selangor, where water is free.
Too much had been disclosed by PR of the corruption and bad governance of UMNO/BN within 30 months, and BN is definitely worried that more skeletons will fall out from the closets. They must cover up as soon as possible to prevent the Rakyat knowing the truth. Even in Johore, an UMNO stronghold, is shaky.
And the water and sand issues, are turning against UMNO/BN culprits.So you do not hear of those sand and water issues now as PR brought the matter to the Rakyat.
Now the Teoh Beng Hock fiasco, and the M16 bullet received by Tony. Such low level tactics are used to scare off PR leaders. Honestly, M16 ammunitions are not easily available to commoners, just like C4 explosives. Will there be a thorough investigation? So far have not received any words from the Police. The hurling of molotov cocktails at Teresa Kok’s residence till date is one year old and nothing had come out from the investigations.
I believed strongly that UMNO/BN will suffer a defeat… You cannot win just on the basis of the votes from one community alone. What actually is the population percentage of the Malays in Malaysia? 67%? That Perkatak figure is misleading, as that includes the non Malay bumis from East Malaysia. At best the population of Malays in Malaysia is 56%( I stand corrected) and not the entire 56% are UMNO Malays. We have good Malays from PAS, PKR, DAP and all other PR supportive parties. Even in UMNO there are good Malays who will vote for change. The country just cannot continue with the bad governance, corruption and irresponsibilities!
Even the Felda folks are revolting, the Felcra folks are revolting, and within Felda there are 45 Parliamentary seats. East Malaysia is shaking, Johor is shaky, so do you think UMNO/BN have a chance? Over to you folks! You see our Ahmad Syafiq is an indication of a good modern moderate Malay! UMNO/BN is in power today because the non Malays put them there, and it is high time the non Malays put Pakatan Rakyat there.
Kee, read many of your comments but unable to reply as was busy and travelling much. Cheers.
PAS for All and All for Pakatan Rakyat! Salam Reformasi, “Selamat berpuasa di bulan Ramadan” to all readers of the Muslim faith in Anil’s blog.
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Sarawak state election aspected will be on october his year, dewan akan di bubar pada, 10.10.2010. lucky and strong number by bomoh. So sekira terjadi ramalan ini, maka rakyat akan pergi ke peti undi untuk memilih wakil mereka. Biasa nya bn di pimpin oleh dk taib dgn yakin dan berani mengumumkan dan membuburkan dewan lebih awal. Kali ini bukan mudah nak membuat keputusan ntk mencari tarith? INi bererti bn yg memberi kemenagan kpd bn pusat, najib biasa cakap fix deposit. Najib belum pernah di lagi mendapat mandat dari rakyat, biarlah org sarawak menentukan kemungkinan ini. Perubahan akan tetap akan berlaku kali ini, bn tidak akan dapat selesa kali ini. Kali ini bn akan melabur banyak juta kali ini, rakyat kampong segeliti masih takut… Namun kali ini bukan mudah utk taib bn dan kucu2 yg kaya raya utk mekekalkan kuasa… kali ini sangat hebat taib dan regim nya akan berbuat apa sahaja utk berkuasa. Namun rakyat telah di dedahkan oleh blog, banyak memberi imput yg memberi kesedaran kpd orang ramai. PR harus, memperkasakan agenda rakyat, suarakan keseluruhan kota dan desa swak. tq
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Elections?? just sharing with you all, 15 years ago, our house keeper said to me, she going to vote DAP, wah DAP GOOD lor but after a BN Van picked up her and the rest of the group.
She came back and told me, she voted BN, I asked her why? she said they (BN) give everybody inside the van (handouts). TRUE STORY, U better believe it!!!
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I believe this time your housekeeper will still get into the BN van, and take the BN handout, AND then vote Pakatan ! Change do happen. Change We Can !
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If you want change and a better malaysia, we need new people with new ideas. Malaysians, you decide
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Hi Anil,
I think Najib will call the Sarawak elections first, and then hold the GE later. Having said that, he could also do it at the same time. Don’t know. As a Pakatan supporter, I don’t really want to speculate on what Najib will do, and when he will do it. However, I want Najib to crack his head about what WE will do. I want him to ponder, worry, guess, speculate, crack his brains, whether :
1. Pakatan will call, or not call, the state elections in all the four Pakatan states at the same time as when he calls the Sarawak elections.
2. Pakatan will call, or not call, the state elections in all the four Pakatan states DEPENDING on whether he calls the Sarawak elections at the same time as the GE.
3. Or perhaps Pakatan will NOT call the state elections in all the four Pakatan states until their full term is up.
4. Or Pakatan might call state elections in the four Pakatan states BEFORE, DURING or IMMEDIATELY AFTER Najib calls for elections.
5. Pakatan might call state elections in TWO Pakatan states first, and do two more later. OR in any other creative permutations.
To make matters worst for Najib, some BN component parties may out of desperation, break away from BN in the run-up to the elections. This may happen in Sabah and Sarawak. I want Najib to stay awake at night – wondering … guessing .. speculating.
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