This is some background info of the semi-urban to rural constituency of Permatang Pauh, which lies between Butterworth and Bukit Mertajam, courtesy of undi.info.
| PENANG: P44 - Permatang Pauh 2008 |
Voters: 58,449 |
|
 |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
Majority |
| UMNO |
Datuk Pirdaus Ismail |
16,950 |
|
| PKR |
Wan Azizah Wan Ismail |
30,348 |
13,388 |
|
|
Racial Breakdown |
|
Malay: 69.40%, Chinese: 24.50%, Indian: 5.70%, Others: 0.10% |
|
| PENANG: P44 - Permatang Pauh 2004 |
Voters: 54,041 |
|
 |
Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
Majority |
| UMNO |
Datuk Pirdaus Ismail |
21,147 |
|
| PKR |
Datin Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail |
21,737 |
590 |
|
|
Racial Breakdown |
|
Malay: 67.60%, Chinese: 26.30%, Indian: 5.70%, Others: 0.30% |
|
|
State Seats / Polling Districts |
|
N10 - Seberang Jaya
Jalan Sembilang, Seberang Jaya Ii, Kampong Pertama, Kampong Belah Dua, Seberang Jaya I, Jalan Bahru, Simpang Ampat,
N11 - Permatang Pasir
Sama Gagah, Permatang Ara, Permatang Pauh, Bukit Indra Muda, Kampong Pelet, Kubang Semang, Tanah Liat Mukim 8, Kampong Cross Street 2,
N12 - Penanti
Guar Perahu, Kuala Mengkuang, Telok Wang, Mengkuang, Sungai Lembu, Penanti, Kubang Ulu, Sungai Semambu, Tanah Liat Mukim 9, Berapit Road,
|
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Permalink: http://undi.info/ax/state/pn/2008/parliament/P44.html
In 1999, Wan Azizah defeated the BN’s Ibrahim Saad by a 9,077 majority.
Further back in 1995, Anwar standing on a BN ticket cruised to victory with a 23,000-plus majority over Pas and DAP candidates.
Who do you think will win in the Permatang Pauh by-election?
- Pakatan with much bigger majority (85%, 3,091 Votes)
- Pakatan with slightly bigger majority (6%, 236 Votes)
- Pakatan with about the same majority (3%, 122 Votes)
- Pakatan with slightly smaller majority (2%, 73 Votes)
- BN (1%, 36 Votes)
- Pakatan with vastly reduced majority (1%, 30 Votes)
- 50:50 (1%, 24 Votes)
- I don't care (1%, 21 Votes)
- Not sure (0%, 13 Votes)
Total Voters: 3,645
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yes Badawi should vacate his seat [ his safe seat ] and urge Anwar to contest there
Why not, anyone from BN who has b**** vacate their safe seats so that Anwar can challenge them there
Heard the is athird party who wants to contest,umno lackey?
i think this by election should an event stronger signal on how insignificant and how fed up we are about how the current UMNO/BN government is making a mockery out of us - the people!
Let’s run a ZERO VOTE BN campaign …tell everyone you know that we are going to give the UMNO/BN - exactly what they deserve - ZERO VOTE … yup not a single f***ing one vote
Well, for the above to happen, your major assumption is that BeeEnd leaders are made up of people with integrity and with honour.
You think a person like Badawi has these qualities?
i think Anwar will win the game with huge triumph, few things can foresee the result if without any ‘interruption’
1. Malay, I think oil and inflation definitely spoil they life and push them into dire poverty, esp for lower income, but ignorant UMNO looks do nothing but put more burden. I have few Malay frienda from this area, they truly understand UMNO did not helping their race with NEP but by sake of those UMNO politician’s coffer. Corruption and unjustice judiciary system can’t convince all constituency regardless of Malay, Chinese and India. But as what i knew some Malay still blindly support UMNO because of racial agenda, esp the old folks, however i estimated 60% of Malay will go to Anwar, about 42%
2. Chinese, a lot of Chinese voted for UN is because scared of UMNO’s revenge. But admittedly, certain Chinese still dislike DSAI because of his ‘invasion’ into Chinese education during he was Education Minister. But compare to the latest development I believe the hatred is channel to UMNO, and even greater. Nowadays, Penang Chinese generally very happy with Pakatan performance. so I estimated 80% of Chinese will side DSAI, so about 21%.
3. India, except what has been mentioned, Hindraf is a big killer to UMNO. So, I strongly believe over 90% will go to DSAI, so is about 5%.
Total 68% excluded the minority, 0.3% will go to DSAI
308 polling rate is about 81%, Wan Azizah gained 52% and 29% goto UMNO. So that says this round still maintain the figure, so this round DSAI at least get 55% or over 32,000 votes. This is only a conservative estimation. Malay will be the key point for DSAI to gain over 35k or even 40k but ‘Small Tsunami’ can happens due to ppl already opened their eyes after 308. No problem for DSAI to win but matter of vote, personally I hope to win crazy it is a good message to UMNO and raya gift!
It was reported on NTV7 Edisi Power (sorry, I couldn’t resist that} at 7 that it has been suggested that BN ‘boycott’ the by election.
I suppose that’s one way of accepting a foregone conclusion. Other than that, I’m amazed at the lack of confidence in the BN Matrix. Can all the machines not beat the One?
And to the the old goat, it won’t be the tears of a loving and loyal wife that will deny your ‘legacy’ this time round. I hope you rot in hell.
I really wish that that fellow Ezam contest in P Pauh. Can’t wait to see he loses his deposit and his trousers!!
I wish Dato Sri Annuar Ibrahim all the best in his efforts to serve the people of all races. Malaysia is a dynamic and resourceful country to live and the leaders must be innovative to cope with the challenges ahead.Malaysia boleh~ Dato Sri Annuar juga boleh.
There is no doubt that Anwar Ibrahim will.
Anwar will win by 26000 votes
indeed, he did!
bravo anwar,
bravo Pakatan Rakyat,
Bravo to all bloggers.